National Center for Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC 20460, USA.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2011 Nov;8(11):4238-72. doi: 10.3390/ijerph8114238. Epub 2011 Nov 9.
We conducted a meta-analysis focusing on studies with high potential for trichloroethylene (TCE) exposure to provide quantitative evaluations of the evidence for associations between TCE exposure and kidney, liver, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) cancers. A systematic review documenting essential design features, exposure assessment approaches, statistical analyses, and potential sources of confounding and bias identified twenty-four cohort and case-control studies on TCE and the three cancers of interest with high potential for exposure, including five recently published case-control studies of kidney cancer or NHL. Fixed- and random-effects models were fitted to the data on overall exposure and on the highest exposure group. Sensitivity analyses examined the influence of individual studies and of alternative risk estimate selections. For overall TCE exposure and kidney cancer, the summary relative risk (RRm) estimate from the random effects model was 1.27 (95% CI: 1.13, 1.43), with a higher RRm for the highest exposure groups (1.58, 95% CI: 1.28, 1.96). The RRm estimates were not overly sensitive to alternative risk estimate selections or to removal of an individual study. There was no apparent heterogeneity or publication bias. For NHL, RRm estimates for overall exposure and for the highest exposure group, respectively, were 1.23 (95% CI: 1.07, 1.42) and 1.43 (95% CI: 1.13, 1.82) and, for liver cancer, 1.29 (95% CI: 1.07, 1.56) and 1.28 (95% CI: 0.93, 1.77). Our findings provide strong support for a causal association between TCE exposure and kidney cancer. The support is strong but less robust for NHL, where issues of study heterogeneity, potential publication bias, and weaker exposure-response results contribute uncertainty, and more limited for liver cancer, where only cohort studies with small numbers of cases were available.
我们进行了一项荟萃分析,重点关注具有高三氯乙烯(TCE)暴露风险的研究,以提供 TCE 暴露与肾脏、肝脏和非霍奇金淋巴瘤(NHL)癌症之间关联的证据的定量评估。一项系统评价记录了基本设计特征、暴露评估方法、统计分析以及潜在的混杂和偏倚来源,确定了 24 项关于 TCE 和三种感兴趣的癌症(包括五项最近发表的关于肾癌或 NHL 的病例对照研究)的具有高暴露风险的队列和病例对照研究。固定效应和随机效应模型分别拟合了总体暴露和最高暴露组的数据。敏感性分析研究了个别研究和替代风险估计选择的影响。对于总体 TCE 暴露和肾癌,随机效应模型的汇总相对风险(RRm)估计值为 1.27(95%CI:1.13,1.43),最高暴露组的 RRm 更高(1.58,95%CI:1.28,1.96)。RRm 估计值对替代风险估计选择或个别研究的去除不太敏感。没有明显的异质性或发表偏倚。对于 NHL,总体暴露和最高暴露组的 RRm 估计值分别为 1.23(95%CI:1.07,1.42)和 1.43(95%CI:1.13,1.82),对于肝癌,分别为 1.29(95%CI:1.07,1.56)和 1.28(95%CI:0.93,1.77)。我们的研究结果为 TCE 暴露与肾癌之间存在因果关系提供了强有力的支持。这种支持对于 NHL 来说是强有力的,但不太稳健,因为存在研究异质性、潜在发表偏倚以及较弱的暴露-反应结果等问题,增加了不确定性,而对于肝癌来说,支持则更为有限,因为只有少数病例的队列研究可用。