Cummings K M, Jette A M, Brock B M, Haefner D P
Med Care. 1979 Jun;17(6):639. doi: 10.1097/00005650-197906000-00008.
A prospective design was used to study factors which predisposed individuals to receive vaccination in response to the anticipated outbreak of swine influenza in the fall and winter of 1976. Data were obtained from a telephone survey of 286 adults in Oakland County, Michigan. Predictor variables included Health Belief Model (HBM) variables as well as measures of behavioral intention, social influence, physician's advice, socioeconomic status and past experience with flu shots. In multivariate analysis, over 40 per cent of the variance in inoculation behavior was explained by the predictors used. Path analysis revealed that most of the HBM variables' influence on behavior was mediated through behavioral intention. While behavioral intention was an important predictor of inoculation behavior, other psychosocial factors played a significant role in explaining variance in the dependent variable.
采用前瞻性设计来研究在1976年秋冬猪流感预期爆发时促使个体接种疫苗的因素。数据来自对密歇根州奥克兰县286名成年人的电话调查。预测变量包括健康信念模型（HBM）变量以及行为意图、社会影响、医生建议、社会经济地位和过去接种流感疫苗的经历等指标。在多变量分析中，所使用的预测变量解释了接种行为中超过40%的方差。路径分析表明，大多数HBM变量对行为的影响是通过行为意图介导的。虽然行为意图是接种行为的一个重要预测因素，但其他心理社会因素在解释因变量的方差方面也发挥了重要作用。
