Fu Vincent Kang, Wolfinger Nicholas H
Soc Sci Q. 2011;92(4):1096-117. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6237.2011.00809.x.
Several recent studies have investigated the consequences of racial intermarriage for marital stability. None of these studies properly control for first-order racial differences in divorce risk, therefore failing to appropriately identify the effect of intermarriage. Our article builds on an earlier generation of studies to develop a model that appropriately identifies the consequences of crossing racial boundaries in matrimony.
We analyze the 1995 and 2002 National Survey of Family Growth using a parametric event-history model called a sickle model. To appropriately identify the effect of interracial marriage we use the interaction of wife's race and husband's race.
We find elevated divorce rates for Latino/white intermarriages but not for black/white intermarriages. Seventy-two percent of endogamous Latino marriages remain intact at 15 years, but only 58 percent of Latino husband/white wife and 64 percent of white husband/Latina wife marriages are still intact.
We have identified an important deficiency in previous studies and provide a straightforward resolution. Although higher rates of Latino/white intermarriage may indicate more porous group boundaries, the greater instability of these marriages suggests that these boundaries remain resilient.
近期有多项研究探讨了种族通婚对婚姻稳定性的影响。但这些研究均未对离婚风险中的一级种族差异进行恰当控制,因此未能准确识别通婚的影响。我们的文章在前人研究基础上构建了一个模型,以恰当识别跨越种族界限步入婚姻的后果。
我们使用一种名为镰刀模型的参数化事件史模型,分析了1995年和2002年的全国家庭成长调查数据。为准确识别跨种族婚姻的影响,我们采用了妻子种族与丈夫种族的交互项。
我们发现拉丁裔/白人通婚的离婚率升高,而黑/白通婚则不然。72%的同族通婚的拉丁裔婚姻在15年后仍保持完整,但只有58%的拉丁裔丈夫/白人妻子婚姻以及64%的白人丈夫/拉丁裔妻子婚姻在15年后仍保持完整。
我们发现了先前研究中的一个重要缺陷,并提供了一个直接的解决方案。尽管拉丁裔/白人通婚率较高可能表明群体界限更具渗透性,但这些婚姻更高的不稳定性表明这些界限仍然具有弹性。