NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre and Sydney School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling (NATSEM), University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia University Centre for Rural Health - North Coast, Department of Rural Health, Sydney School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia.
Pain. 2012 Jan;153(1):203-210. doi: 10.1016/j.pain.2011.10.018.
This study undertook an economic analysis of the costs of early retirement due to back problems, with the aim of quantifying how much lower the value of accumulated wealth of individuals who exit the workforce early due to back problems is by the time they reach the traditional retirement age of 65 years--compared to those who remained in the workforce. This was done using the output dataset of the microsimulation model Health&WealthMOD. It was found that over 99% of individuals who are employed full time will have accumulated some wealth at age 65 years, whereas as little as 74% of those who are out of the labour force due to back problems will have done so. Those who retire from the labour force early due to back problems will have a median value of total accumulated wealth by the time they are 65 of as little as $3708 (for women aged 55-64 years). This is far lower than the median value of accumulated wealth for those women aged 55-64 years who remained in the labour force full time, who will have $214,432 of accumulated wealth at age 65 years. Not only will early retirement due to back problems limit the immediate income available to individuals, but it will also reduce their long-term financial capacity by reducing their wealth accumulation. Maintaining the labour force participation of those with back problems, or preventing the onset of the disease, should be a priority in order to maintain living standards comparable with others who do not suffer from this condition.
本研究对因背部问题提前退休的成本进行了经济分析,旨在量化因背部问题提前退出劳动力市场的个人在达到传统退休年龄 65 岁时的累积财富价值与那些继续工作的人相比会降低多少。这是使用微观模拟模型 Health&WealthMOD 的输出数据集完成的。结果发现,超过 99%的全职就业人员在 65 岁时会有一定的财富积累,而因背部问题而失业的人员中,只有 74%的人会有这种情况。那些因背部问题提前退休的人,到 65 岁时的总累积财富中位数只有 3708 美元(55-64 岁女性)。这远低于那些 55-64 岁全职工作的女性的累积财富中位数,她们在 65 岁时将拥有 214432 美元的累积财富。因背部问题提前退休不仅会限制个人的即时收入,还会通过减少他们的财富积累来降低他们的长期财务能力。为了维持与其他没有患这种疾病的人相当的生活水平,应该优先考虑让有背部问题的人继续工作,或预防该疾病的发生。