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法国核电站周边地区儿童白血病——Geocap 研究,2002-2007 年。

Childhood leukemia around French nuclear power plants--the Geocap study, 2002-2007.

机构信息

INSERM U1018, CESP Center for research in Epidemiology and Population Health, Environmental Epidemiology of Cancer Team, Villejuif F-94807, Paris, France.

出版信息

Int J Cancer. 2012 Sep 1;131(5):E769-80. doi: 10.1002/ijc.27425. Epub 2012 Feb 28.

Abstract

The aim of this work is to study the risk of childhood acute leukemia (AL) around French nuclear power plants (NPPs). The nationwide Geocap case-control study included the 2,753 cases diagnosed in mainland France over 2002-2007 and 30,000 contemporaneous population controls. The last addresses were geocoded and located around the 19 NPPs. The study used distance to NPPs and a dose-based geographic zoning (DBGZ), based on the estimated dose to bone marrow related to NPP gaseous discharges. An odds ratio (OR) of 1.9 [1.0-3.3], based on 14 cases, was evidenced for children living within 5 km of NPPs compared to those living 20 km or further away, and a very similar association was observed in the concomitant incidence study (standardized incidence ratio (SIR)=1.9 [1.0-3.2]). These results were similar for all the 5-year-age groups. They persisted after stratification for several contextual characteristics of the municipalities of residence. Conversely, using the DBGZ resulted in OR and SIR close to one in all of the dose categories. There was no increase in AL incidence over 1990-2001 and over the entire 1990-2007 period. The results suggest a possible excess risk of AL in the close vicinity of French NPPs in 2002-2007. The absence of any association with the DBGZ may indicate that the association is not explained by NPP gaseous discharges. Overall, the findings call for investigation for potential risk factors related to the vicinity of NPP and collaborative analysis of multisite studies conducted in various countries.

摘要

这项工作的目的是研究法国核电站(NPP)周围儿童急性白血病(AL)的风险。全国范围的 Geocap 病例对照研究包括 2002 年至 2007 年期间在法国大陆诊断的 2753 例病例和 30000 名同期人群对照。最后地址被地理编码并定位在 19 个 NPP 周围。该研究使用了与 NPP 气体排放有关的骨髓相关剂量的基于距离的地理分区(DBGZ)和与 NPP 的距离,以剂量为基础的地理分区(DBGZ)。与生活在 20 公里或更远的距离相比,生活在 NPP 5 公里范围内的儿童的比值比(OR)为 1.9 [1.0-3.3],对于所有 5 岁年龄组,都观察到了非常相似的关联。在同期发病率研究中也观察到了类似的关联(标准化发病率比(SIR)=1.9 [1.0-3.2])。这些结果在居住的直辖市的几个背景特征分层后仍然相似。相反,使用 DBGZ 导致在所有剂量类别中 OR 和 SIR 接近 1。1990-2001 年和整个 1990-2007 年期间,AL 发病率没有增加。结果表明,2002-2007 年间法国 NPP 附近可能存在 AL 风险增加。与 DBGZ 无关可能表明,这种关联不能用 NPP 气体排放来解释。总体而言,这些发现呼吁对与 NPP 附近有关的潜在风险因素进行调查,并对在不同国家进行的多地点研究进行合作分析。

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