VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, P.O. Box 1000, 02044 VTT, Finland.
Accid Anal Prev. 2012 Mar;45:737-44. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.043. Epub 2011 Nov 4.
This study reviews the development of railway safety in Finland from 1959 to 2008. The results show that the level of safety has greatly improved over the past five decades. The total number of railway fatalities did not show any obvious decreasing or increasing trend during the first decade, but since the early 1970s the annual number of fatalities has decreased from about 100 to 20. The estimated overall annual reduction per year from 1970 to 2008 was 5.4% (with a 95% confidence interval from -8.2% to -2.6%). The reduction in subcategories per million train-kilometres from 1959 to 2008 was 4.4% per year for passengers, 8.3% for employees, 5.0% for road users at level crossings and 3.6% for others (mainly trespassers). The safety improvement for passengers and staff was probably influenced by the introduction of central locking of doors in passenger cars and improved procedures to protect railway employees working on the tracks. The number of road users killed at level crossings has fallen due to the installation of barriers and the construction of overpasses and underpasses at crossings with dense traffic, removal of level crossings, and an improvement of conditions such as visibility at crossings. The number of trespasser fatalities has seen the least decline. Key plans for the future include further reduction of the number of level crossings on the state railway network from the current roughly 3500-2200 by 2025, and involving communities in safety work related to railway trespassers.
本研究回顾了 1959 年至 2008 年芬兰铁路安全的发展情况。结果表明,在过去的五十年中,安全水平有了很大的提高。在第一个十年中,铁路死亡总人数没有明显的减少或增加趋势,但自 20 世纪 70 年代初以来,每年的死亡人数已从约 100 人减少到 20 人。1970 年至 2008 年期间,每年的总估计降幅为 5.4%(95%置信区间为-8.2%至-2.6%)。从 1959 年到 2008 年,每百万列车公里的细分类别减少了 4.4%,乘客减少了 4.4%,员工减少了 8.3%,平交道口的道路使用者减少了 5.0%,其他人员(主要是擅自闯入者)减少了 3.6%。乘客和员工安全状况的改善可能受到客车间车门中央锁定装置的引入以及保护在轨道上工作的铁路员工程序的改进的影响。由于安装了障碍物以及在交通繁忙的道口建造了天桥和地下通道,拆除了平交道口,并改善了道口的可视性等条件,道口死亡的道路使用者数量有所下降。擅自闯入者死亡人数的下降幅度最小。未来的主要计划包括到 2025 年,将国家铁路网络上的道口数量从目前的大约 3500 个减少到 2200 个,并让社区参与与铁路擅自闯入者相关的安全工作。