Centre for Occupational and Environmental Health Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa.
S Afr Med J. 2011 Nov 1;101(11):817-20.
Anthropogenic climate change and anticipated adverse impacts on human health as outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are taken as given. A conceptual model for thinking about the spectrum of climate-related health risks ranging from distal and infrastructural to proximal and behavioural and their relation to the burden of disease pattern typical of sub-Saharan Africa is provided. The model provides a tool for identifying modifiable risk factors with a view to future research, specifically into the performance of interventions to reduce the impact of climate change.
人为气候变化以及政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)所概述的对人类健康的预期不利影响被视为既定事实。本文提供了一个概念模型,用于思考从远程和基础设施到近端和行为的与气候相关的健康风险范围及其与撒哈拉以南非洲特有的疾病负担模式的关系。该模型为确定可改变的风险因素提供了一个工具,以期进行未来的研究,特别是研究减少气候变化影响的干预措施的效果。