Section of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Eur J Epidemiol. 2012 Mar;27(3):233-41. doi: 10.1007/s10654-012-9651-4. Epub 2012 Jan 26.
The impact of host factors, such as gender and co-morbidity, on mortality after trauma has been debated. Quantification of risk factors is dependent on methodological considerations including follow-up time, definitions and adjustment of potential confounders. Optimal follow-up time of trauma patients remains to be elucidated. We investigated the impact of gender and co-morbidity on short and long term mortality in a cohort including 4,051 patients from a level 1 trauma centre. Data from the trauma cohort were linked to validated national registries. 30 and 360-day survival were analysed with logistic and Cox regression, respectively. Long term survival was also estimated as standardized mortality ratio, which implies a comparison with a matched general population. The influence of host factors on outcome after trauma differed over time. Male gender was an independent risk factor for mortality at 1 year but not at 30-days post-injury, even after adjustment for clinically relevant confounders. This gender difference was also apparent when comparing mortality rates with the general population. Moreover, the effect of gender seems to be restricted to elderly patients. The presence of co-morbidity became a significant risk factor beyond 30 days after trauma, suggesting that this patient group may benefit from a more thorough follow up after hospital discharge. A persistent excess mortality compared to the general population was still seen 1 year after the trauma. Our findings indicate that the effect of trauma is not limited to the early post-injury period but adversely affects the long term outcome.
宿主因素,如性别和合并症,对创伤后死亡率的影响一直存在争议。危险因素的量化取决于方法学考虑因素,包括随访时间、定义和潜在混杂因素的调整。创伤患者的最佳随访时间仍有待阐明。我们调查了性别和合并症对来自 1 级创伤中心的 4051 例患者队列的短期和长期死亡率的影响。创伤队列的数据与经过验证的国家登记处相关联。使用逻辑回归和 Cox 回归分别分析 30 天和 360 天的生存率。长期生存率也估计为标准化死亡率比,这意味着与匹配的一般人群进行比较。宿主因素对创伤后结局的影响随时间而变化。男性是 1 年时死亡的独立危险因素,但在受伤后 30 天内不是,即使在调整了临床相关混杂因素后也是如此。当将死亡率与一般人群进行比较时,也可以看到这种性别差异。此外,这种性别差异似乎仅限于老年患者。合并症的存在是创伤后 30 天以上的一个重要危险因素,这表明这些患者群体可能受益于出院后更彻底的随访。与一般人群相比,1 年后仍存在持续的超额死亡率。我们的研究结果表明,创伤的影响不仅限于受伤后的早期,而且会对长期结局产生不利影响。