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荷兰家猫弓形虫血清流行率及感染危险因素调查

Seroprevalence and risk factors for Toxoplasma gondii infection in domestic cats in The Netherlands.

机构信息

National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Centre for Infectious Disease Control, P.O. Box 1, 3720 BA Bilthoven, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Prev Vet Med. 2012 May 1;104(3-4):317-26. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.01.003. Epub 2012 Feb 2.

Abstract

Cats, as definitive hosts, play an important role in the transmission of Toxoplasma gondii. To determine the seroprevalence and risk factors for T. gondii infection in Dutch domestic cats, serum samples of 450 cats were tested for T. gondii antibodies by indirect ELISA. Binary mixture analysis was used to estimate the seroprevalence, the optimal cut-off value and the probability of being positive for each cat. The seroprevalence was estimated at 18.2% (95% CI: 16.6-20.0%) and showed a decrease with age in very young cats, an increase up to about 4 years old and ranged between 20 and 30% thereafter. Hunting (OR 4.1), presence of a dog in the household (OR 2.1), former stray cat (OR 3.3) and feeding of raw meat (OR 2.7) were identified as risk factors by multivariable logistic regression analysis. Prevalence differences were estimated by linear regression on the probabilities of being positive and used to calculate the population attributable fractions for each risk factor. Hunting contributed most to the T. gondii seroprevalence in the sampled population (35%).

摘要

猫作为终末宿主,在弓形虫传播中起着重要作用。为了确定荷兰家猫中弓形虫感染的血清流行率和危险因素,对 450 只猫的血清样本进行了间接 ELISA 检测弓形虫抗体。采用二元混合物分析估计血清流行率、最佳截断值和每只猫阳性的概率。血清流行率估计为 18.2%(95%CI:16.6-20.0%),在非常年幼的猫中随年龄下降,在 4 岁左右增加,此后在 20%至 30%之间波动。通过多变量逻辑回归分析,确定了狩猎(OR4.1)、家中有狗(OR2.1)、以前是流浪猫(OR3.3)和喂食生肉(OR2.7)为危险因素。通过对阳性概率进行线性回归估计流行率差异,并计算每个危险因素的人群归因分数。狩猎对抽样人群中弓形虫血清流行率的贡献最大(35%)。

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