Preble E A
United Nations Children's Fund, New York, NY 10017.
Soc Sci Med. 1990;31(6):671-80. doi: 10.1016/0277-9536(90)90249-r.
In Central and East Africa, pediatric human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) are becoming increasing threats to child health due to the predominance of heterosexual transmission of HIV, high HIV infection rates in women of reproductive age and high birth rates. This paper examines the potential impact of HIV/AIDS on orphanhood and under-five mortality in 10 Central and East African countries. The author estimates that, in the 10 countries studied, HIV/AIDS in children under age five will cause between one-quarter and half a million child deaths annually by the year 2000. Whereas the United Nations estimate (without AIDS) and target for the under-five mortality rate in this 10-country region by the year 2000 are 132 and 78, respectively, HIV/AIDS will cause the under-five mortality rate to rise to between 159 and 189. Increasing HIV/AIDS-related adult mortality is creating a large and growing number of children under age 15 whose mothers have died of HIV/AIDS. During the 1990s, HIV/AIDS will kill a total of between 1.5 and 2.9 million women of reproductive age in this region, producing between 3.1 and 5.5 million AIDS orphans--which means that between 6 and 11% of the population under age 15 will be orphaned. National and international government and nongovernment service providers in Central and East Africa need to recognize this potential impact of HIV/AIDS on children, expand AIDS-prevention efforts, and develop policies and programs to address children's HIV/AIDS-related needs.
在中非和东非,由于艾滋病毒主要通过异性传播、育龄妇女艾滋病毒感染率高以及出生率高,小儿感染人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)和获得性免疫缺陷综合征(AIDS)对儿童健康构成的威胁日益增大。本文探讨了艾滋病毒/艾滋病对中非和东非10个国家儿童成孤及五岁以下儿童死亡率的潜在影响。作者估计,到2000年,在所研究的10个国家中,五岁以下儿童的艾滋病毒/艾滋病每年将导致25万至50万儿童死亡。联合国对该10国地区2000年五岁以下儿童死亡率的估计(不包括艾滋病因素)和目标分别为132和78,但艾滋病毒/艾滋病将使五岁以下儿童死亡率升至159至189之间。与艾滋病毒/艾滋病相关的成人死亡率不断上升造成了大量且数量不断增加的15岁以下儿童,他们的母亲死于艾滋病毒/艾滋病。在20世纪90年代,艾滋病毒/艾滋病将导致该地区总共150万至290万育龄妇女死亡,产生310万至550万艾滋病孤儿,这意味着15岁以下人口中有6%至11%将成为孤儿。中非和东非国家及国际的政府和非政府服务提供者需要认识到艾滋病毒/艾滋病对儿童的这一潜在影响,扩大艾滋病预防工作,并制定政策和方案来满足儿童与艾滋病毒/艾滋病相关的需求。