Patient-risk due to negligence by Locum General Practitioners outside of office hours.

In Holland, first tier medical care outside of office hours is provided by regular GP's acting as Locum GP's. On several occasions concerns have been expressed about Locum GP's not visiting the patient when necessary. The number of complaints against Locum GP's submitted to the Medical Boards has been increasing over time and relate in particular to refusals of Locum GP's to visit the patient. In many of these cases the patient died. The paper develops a quantitative estimate of the risk for the patient due to negligence of Locum GP's. The measure of the risk is taken as the number of patients who died unnecessarily due to negligence of Locum GP's as determined by the Medical Boards. The paper estimates that in Holland in the year 2000 about 1500 patients would probably not have died had the Locum GP's working out-of-hours not been negligent by contravening professional standards. In more than half of these cases the Locum GP's did not visit the patient, or did not visit the patient in time, when necessary. This level of patient risk must be regarded as socially unacceptable. One important explanation for these accidents could be that doctors are largely unfamiliar with the professional standards developed by the Medical Boards. Because of the assumptions made and the uncertainty regarding the data used, the actual numbers of these accidents may be higher or lower than estimated here. Although more reliable data will allow the results to be determined more reliably, this is unlikely to change the acceptability of the risk.