Inaba Hisashi
Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Tokyo, 3-8-1 Komaba, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 153-8914, Japan.
J Math Biol. 2013 Mar;66(4-5):1065-97. doi: 10.1007/s00285-012-0522-0. Epub 2012 Mar 14.
In the context of mathematical epidemiology, the type-reproduction number (TRN) for a specific host type is interpreted as the average number of secondary cases of that type produced by the primary cases of the same host type during the entire course of infection. Here, it must be noted that T takes into account not only the secondary cases directly transmitted from the specific host but also the cases indirectly transmitted by way of other types, who were infected from the primary cases of the specific host with no intermediate cases of the target host. Roberts and Heesterbeek (Proc R Soc Lond B 270:1359-1364, 2003) have shown that T is a useful measure when a particular single host type is targeted in the disease control effort in a community with various types of host, based on the fact that the sign relation sign(R₀-1) = sign(T-1) holds between the basic reproduction number R₀ and T. In fact, T can be seen as an extension of R₀ in a sense that the threshold condition of the total population growth can be formulated by the reproduction process of the target type only. However, the original formulation is limited to populations with discrete state space in constant environments. In this paper, based on a new perspective of R₀ in heterogeneous environments (Inaba in J Math Biol 2011), we give a general definition of the TRN for continuously structured populations in heterogeneous environments and show some examples of its computation and applications.
在数学流行病学的背景下,特定宿主类型的类型繁殖数(TRN)被解释为同一宿主类型的原发病例在整个感染过程中产生的该类型继发病例的平均数。在此,必须注意的是,T不仅考虑了直接从特定宿主传播的继发病例,还考虑了通过其他类型间接传播的病例,这些其他类型是从特定宿主的原发病例感染而来,中间没有目标宿主的病例。罗伯茨和赫斯特贝克(《英国皇家学会学报B》270:1359 - 1364,2003年)表明,当在一个有各种宿主类型的社区中针对特定单一宿主类型进行疾病控制工作时,T是一个有用的度量,基于基本繁殖数R₀和T之间存在符号关系sign(R₀ - 1) = sign(T - 1)这一事实。实际上,在某种意义上,T可以被视为R₀的扩展,即总人口增长的阈值条件可以仅由目标类型的繁殖过程来表述。然而,原始公式仅限于恒定环境中具有离散状态空间的种群。在本文中,基于异质环境中R₀的新视角(稻叶,《数学生物学杂志》2011年),我们给出了异质环境中连续结构种群的TRN的一般定义,并展示了其计算和应用的一些示例。