Emma Children’s Hospital/Academic Medical Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
J Clin Oncol. 2012 May 1;30(13):1429-37. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2010.33.4730. Epub 2012 Apr 2.
To evaluate the long-term risk for validated symptomatic cardiac events (CEs) and associated risk factors in childhood cancer survivors (CCSs).
We determined CEs grade 3 or higher: congestive heart failure (CHF), cardiac ischemia, valvular disease, arrhythmia and/or pericarditis (according to Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events [CTCAE], version 3.0) in a hospital-based cohort of 1,362 5-year CCSs diagnosed between 1966 and 1996. We calculated both marginal and cause-specific cumulative incidence of CEs and cause-specific cumulative incidence of separate events. We analyzed different risk factors in multivariable Cox regression models.
Overall, 50 CEs, including 27 cases of CHF, were observed in 42 survivors (at a median attained age of 27.1 years). The 30-year cause-specific cumulative incidence of CEs was significantly increased after treatment with both anthracyclines and cardiac irradiation (12.6%; 95% CI, 4.3% to 20.3%), after anthracyclines (7.3%; 95% CI, 3.8% to 10.7%), and after cardiac irradiation (4.0%; 95% CI, 0.5% to 7.4%) compared with other treatments. In the proportional hazards analyses, anthracycline (dose), cardiac irradiation (dose), combination of these treatments, and congenital heart disease were significantly associated with developing a CE. We demonstrated an exponential relationship between the cumulative anthracycline dose, cardiac irradiation dose, and risk of CE.
CCSs have a high risk of developing symptomatic CEs at an early age. The most common CE was CHF. Survivors treated with both anthracyclines and radiotherapy have the highest risk; after 30 years, one in eight will develop severe heart disease. The use of potentially cardiotoxic treatments should be reconsidered for high-risk groups, and frequent follow-up for high-risk survivors is needed.
评估经证实的有症状心脏事件(CE)的长期风险和儿童癌症幸存者(CCS)的相关危险因素。
我们根据不良事件通用术语标准(CTCAE)版本 3.0,在一个基于医院的队列中确定了 1362 名 5 岁时确诊为癌症(1966 年至 1996 年)的 CCS 中,CE 等级 3 或更高的情况:充血性心力衰竭(CHF)、心肌缺血、瓣膜疾病、心律失常和/或心包炎。我们计算了 CE 的边缘和特定原因累积发生率以及单独事件的特定原因累积发生率。我们在多变量 Cox 回归模型中分析了不同的危险因素。
共有 42 名幸存者(中位随访年龄为 27.1 岁)发生了 50 例 CE,包括 27 例 CHF。在接受蒽环类药物和心脏照射治疗后,CE 的 30 年特定原因累积发生率显著增加(12.6%;95%CI,4.3%至 20.3%),在接受蒽环类药物治疗后(7.3%;95%CI,3.8%至 10.7%),在接受心脏照射治疗后(4.0%;95%CI,0.5%至 7.4%)。在比例风险分析中,蒽环类药物(剂量)、心脏照射(剂量)、这些治疗的联合以及先天性心脏病与发生 CE 显著相关。我们证明了蒽环类药物累积剂量、心脏照射剂量与 CE 风险之间存在指数关系。
CCS 在早期发生有症状 CE 的风险很高。最常见的 CE 是 CHF。接受蒽环类药物和放疗联合治疗的幸存者风险最高;30 年后,每 8 人中就有 1 人会发生严重的心脏病。对于高危人群,应重新考虑使用潜在的心脏毒性治疗方法,并且需要对高危幸存者进行频繁随访。