Thomson E, McDonald E, Bumpass L L
Department of Sociology, University of Wisconsin, Madison 53706.
Demography. 1990 Nov;27(4):579-88.
The relationship between desired and achieved fertility may be misspecified by excluding husbands' fertility desires or by confounding effects of shared desires with the resolution of conflicting desires. Using couple data from the classic Princeton Fertility Surveys, we find relatively large husband effects on fertility outcomes as well as unique effects of spousal disagreement. Wives and husbands were equally likely to achieve fertility desires, and disagreeing couples experienced fertility rates midway between couples who wanted the same smaller or larger number of children. These conditions do not hold, however, when we include willingness to delay births for economic mobility as part of the measure of fertility desires. Among couples who both wanted a third child, only husbands' willingness to delay births had significant negative effects on birth rates.
通过排除丈夫的生育意愿或因共同意愿的混杂效应与冲突意愿的解决,期望生育与实际生育之间的关系可能被错误设定。利用来自经典普林斯顿生育调查的夫妇数据,我们发现丈夫对生育结果有相对较大的影响,以及配偶意见分歧的独特影响。妻子和丈夫实现生育意愿的可能性相同,意见不一致的夫妇的生育率处于想要相同较少或较多孩子的夫妇之间的中间水平。然而,当我们将为了经济流动而推迟生育的意愿作为生育意愿衡量标准的一部分时,这些情况并不成立。在双方都想要第三个孩子的夫妇中,只有丈夫推迟生育的意愿对出生率有显著的负面影响。