Vinson J M, Rich M W, Sperry J C, Shah A S, McNamara T
Jewish Hospital, Washington University Medical Center, St. Louis, MO 63110.
J Am Geriatr Soc. 1990 Dec;38(12):1290-5. doi: 10.1111/j.1532-5415.1990.tb03450.x.
Repetitive hospitalizations are a major health problem in elderly patients with chronic disease, accounting for up to one fourth of all inpatient Medicare expenditures. Congestive heart failure, one of the most common indications for hospitalization in the elderly, is also associated with a high incidence of early rehospitalization, but variables identifying patients at increased risk and an analysis of potentially remediable factors contributing to readmission have not previously been reported. We prospectively evaluated 161 patients 70 years or older that had been hospitalized with documented congestive heart failure. Hospital mortality was 13% (n = 21). Among patients discharged alive, 66 (47%) were readmitted within 90 days. Recurrent heart failure was the most common cause for readmission, occurring in 38 patients (57%). Other cardiac disorders accounted for five readmissions (8%), and noncardiac illness led to readmission in 21 cases (32%). Factors predictive of an increased probability of readmission included a prior history of heart failure, four or more admissions within the preceding 8 years, and heart failure precipitated by an acute myocardial infarction or uncontrolled hypertension (all P less than .05). Using subjective criteria, 25 first readmissions (38%) were judged possibly preventable, and 10 (15%) were judged probably preventable. Factors contributing to preventable readmissions included noncompliance with medications (15%) or diet (18%), inadequate discharge planning (15%) or follow-up (20%), failed social support system (21%), and failure to seek medical attention promptly when symptoms recurred (20%). Thus, early rehospitalization in elderly patients with congestive heart failure may be preventable in up to 50% of cases, identification of high risk patients is possible shortly after admission, and further study of nonpharmacologic interventions designed to reduce readmission frequency is justified.
反复住院是老年慢性病患者的一个主要健康问题,占医疗保险住院总支出的四分之一。充血性心力衰竭是老年人住院最常见的指征之一,其早期再次住院的发生率也很高,但此前尚未报告过识别高危患者的变量以及对导致再次入院的潜在可补救因素的分析。我们对161例70岁及以上因充血性心力衰竭住院的患者进行了前瞻性评估。医院死亡率为13%(n = 21)。在存活出院的患者中,66例(47%)在90天内再次入院。复发性心力衰竭是再次入院最常见的原因,38例(57%)患者出现这种情况。其他心脏疾病导致5例再次入院(8%),非心脏疾病导致21例再次入院(32%)。预测再次入院可能性增加的因素包括既往心力衰竭病史、前8年内入院4次或更多次,以及由急性心肌梗死或未控制的高血压引发的心力衰竭(所有P值均小于0.05)。根据主观标准,25例首次再次入院(38%)被判定可能可预防,10例(15%)被判定很可能可预防。导致可预防再次入院的因素包括不遵医嘱用药(15%)或饮食(18%)、出院计划不充分(15%)或随访不足(20%)、社会支持系统失效(21%)以及症状复发时未及时就医(20%)。因此,充血性心力衰竭老年患者的早期再次住院在高达50%的病例中可能是可预防的,入院后不久即可识别高危患者,并且有理由进一步研究旨在降低再次入院频率的非药物干预措施。