Center for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition, Food and Drug Administration, 5100 Paint Branch Pkwy, College Park, MD 20740-3835, USA.
Clin Infect Dis. 2012 Jun;54 Suppl 5:S405-10. doi: 10.1093/cid/cis269.
Quantitative estimates of the relative risk (RR) of listeriosis among higher-risk populations and a nuanced understanding of the age-specific risks are crucial for risk assessments, targeted interventions, and policy decisions.
The RR of invasive listeriosis was evaluated by age, pregnancy status, and ethnicity using 2004-2009 data from the Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network (FoodNet). Nonparametric logistic regression was used to characterize changes in risk with age and ethnicity. Adjusted RRs and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were evaluated using negative binomial generalized linear models.
Among non-pregnancy-associated cases, listeriosis incidence rates increased gradually with age (45-59 years: RR, 4.7; 95% CI, 3.3-6.8; >85 years: RR, 53.8; 95% CI, 37.3-78.9; reference: 15-44 years). The RR was significantly higher for Hispanics than for non-Hispanics (RR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3-2.5). Among women of reproductive age (15-44 years), pregnant women had a markedly higher listeriosis risk (RR, 114.6; 95% CI, 68.9-205.1) than nonpregnant women. The RR was higher for Hispanic than non-Hispanic women, regardless of pregnancy status, and this increased during the study period (2004-2006: RR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.0-3.3; 2007-2009: RR, 4.8; 95% CI, 3.1-7.1).
This study quantifies the increases in risk of listeriosis among older persons, pregnant women, and Hispanics in the United States. Additional research is needed to better describe the independent effects of age on risk while accounting for underlying conditions. These estimates are needed both to optimize risk assessment models and to inform targeted interventions and policy decisions.
对于风险评估、有针对性的干预和政策决策,量化高风险人群李斯特菌病的相对风险 (RR) 估计值以及对年龄特异性风险的细致了解至关重要。
使用 2004-2009 年食源性疾病主动监测网络 (FoodNet) 的数据,按年龄、妊娠状态和种族评估侵袭性李斯特菌病的 RR。使用非参数逻辑回归来描述随年龄和种族变化的风险。使用负二项式广义线性模型评估调整后的 RR 和 95%置信区间 (CI)。
在非妊娠相关病例中,李斯特菌病的发病率随着年龄的增长而逐渐增加(45-59 岁:RR,4.7;95%CI,3.3-6.8;>85 岁:RR,53.8;95%CI,37.3-78.9;参考:15-44 岁)。西班牙裔的 RR 明显高于非西班牙裔(RR,1.8;95%CI,1.3-2.5)。在育龄妇女(15-44 岁)中,孕妇李斯特菌病的风险明显更高(RR,114.6;95%CI,68.9-205.1)而非孕妇。无论妊娠状态如何,西班牙裔的 RR 均高于非西班牙裔,并且在研究期间有所增加(2004-2006:RR,1.9;95%CI,1.0-3.3;2007-2009:RR,4.8;95%CI,3.1-7.1)。
本研究量化了美国老年人、孕妇和西班牙裔李斯特菌病风险的增加。需要进一步研究以更好地描述年龄对风险的独立影响,同时考虑潜在疾病。这些估计值不仅需要优化风险评估模型,还需要为有针对性的干预措施和政策决策提供信息。