Boston Medical Center, 85 E. Concord St., Suite 7715, Boston, MA 02118, USA.
Cancer Prev Res (Phila). 2012 Aug;5(8):1044-52. doi: 10.1158/1940-6207.CAPR-12-0014. Epub 2012 Jun 11.
Tailoring the use of screening colonoscopy based on the risk of advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACN) could optimize the cost-effectiveness of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. Our goal was to assess the accuracy of the Your Disease Risk (YDR) CRC risk index for stratifying average risk patients into low- versus intermediate/high-risk categories for ACN. The YDR risk assessment tool was administered to 3,317 asymptomatic average risk patients 50 to 79 years of age just before their screening colonoscopy. Associations between YDR-derived relative risk (RR) scores and ACN prevalence were examined using logistic regression and χ(2) analyses. ACN was defined as a tubular adenoma ≥1 cm, tubulovillous or villous adenoma of any size, and the presence of high-grade dysplasia or cancer. The overall prevalence of ACN was 5.6%. Although YDR-derived RR scores were linearly associated with ACN after adjusting for age and gender (P = 0.033), the index was unable to discriminate "below average" from "above/average" risk patients [OR, 1.01; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.75-1.37]. Considerable overlap in rates of ACN was also observed between the different YDR risk categories in our age- and gender-stratified analyses. The YDR index lacks accuracy for stratifying average risk patients into low- versus intermediate/high-risk categories for ACN.
根据进展期结直肠肿瘤(ACN)的风险定制筛查结肠镜检查,可优化结直肠癌(CRC)筛查的成本效益。我们的目标是评估您的疾病风险(YDR)CRC 风险指数在将平均风险患者分层为低风险与中/高风险 ACN 类别方面的准确性。在进行筛查结肠镜检查之前,对 3317 名 50 至 79 岁的无症状平均风险患者进行了 YDR 风险评估工具的评估。使用逻辑回归和 χ(2)分析检验 YDR 衍生的相对风险(RR)评分与 ACN 患病率之间的关联。ACN 的定义为管状腺瘤≥1cm、管状绒毛状或任何大小的绒毛状腺瘤以及高级别异型增生或癌症的存在。ACN 的总体患病率为 5.6%。尽管在调整年龄和性别后,YDR 衍生的 RR 评分与 ACN 呈线性相关(P=0.033),但该指数无法区分“低于平均”与“高于/平均”风险患者[比值比(OR),1.01;95%置信区间(CI),0.75-1.37]。在我们的年龄和性别分层分析中,不同 YDR 风险类别之间也观察到 ACN 发生率的明显重叠。YDR 指数在将平均风险患者分层为低风险与中/高风险 ACN 类别方面缺乏准确性。