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联合估计生境动态和物种相互作用:干扰减少了非本地捕食者与濒危蟾蜍的共存。

Joint estimation of habitat dynamics and species interactions: disturbance reduces co-occurrence of non-native predators with an endangered toad.

机构信息

US Geological Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, 12100 Beech Forest Rd, Laurel, MD 20708, USAUS Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research Center, San Diego Field Station, 4165 Spruance Road, Suite 200, San Diego, CA 92101, USA.

出版信息

J Anim Ecol. 2012 Nov;81(6):1288-1297. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2656.2012.02001.x. Epub 2012 Jun 15.

Abstract
  1. Ecologists have long been interested in the processes that determine patterns of species occurrence and co-occurrence. Potential short-comings of many existing empirical approaches that address these questions include a reliance on patterns of occurrence at a single time point, failure to account properly for imperfect detection and treating the environment as a static variable. 2. We fit detection and non-detection data collected from repeat visits using a dynamic site occupancy model that simultaneously accounts for the temporal dynamics of a focal prey species, its predators and its habitat. Our objective was to determine how disturbance and species interactions affect the co-occurrence probabilities of an endangered toad and recently introduced non-native predators in stream breeding habitats. For this, we determined statistical support for alternative processes that could affect co-occurrence frequency in the system. 3. We collected occurrence data at stream segments in two watersheds where streams were largely ephemeral and one watershed dominated by perennial streams. Co-occurrence probabilities of toads with non-native predators were related to disturbance frequency, with low co-occurrence in the ephemeral watershed and high co-occurrence in the perennial watershed. This occurred because once predators were established at a site, they were rarely lost from the site except in cases when the site dried out. Once dry sites became suitable again, toads colonized them much more rapidly than predators, creating a period of predator-free space. 4. We attribute the dynamics to a storage effect, where toads persisting outside the stream environment during periods of drought rapidly colonized sites when they become suitable again. Our results support that even in highly connected stream networks, temporal disturbance can structure frequencies with which breeding amphibians encounter non-native predators. 5. Dynamic multi-state occupancy models are a powerful tool for rigorously examining hypotheses about inter-species and species-habitat interactions. In contrast to previous methods that infer dynamic processes based on static patterns in occupancy, the approach we took allows the dynamic processes that determine species-species and species-habitat interactions to be directly estimated.
摘要
  1. 生态学家长期以来一直对决定物种出现和共存模式的过程感兴趣。许多现有的经验方法在解决这些问题时存在潜在的不足,包括依赖于单点出现模式、未能正确考虑不完全检测以及将环境视为静态变量。

  2. 我们使用动态站点占有率模型拟合从重复访问中收集的检测和未检测数据,该模型同时考虑了焦点猎物物种、其捕食者及其栖息地的时间动态。我们的目标是确定干扰和物种相互作用如何影响濒危蟾蜍和最近引入的非本地捕食者在溪流繁殖栖息地中的共存概率。为此,我们确定了替代过程对系统共存频率的影响的统计支持。

  3. 我们在两个流域的溪流段收集了出现数据,其中一个流域的溪流主要是短暂的,另一个流域则以常年溪流为主。蟾蜍与非本地捕食者的共存概率与干扰频率有关,在短暂的流域中共存概率较低,而在常年的流域中共存概率较高。这是因为一旦捕食者在一个地点建立了种群,除非该地点干涸,否则它们很少会从该地点消失。一旦干涸的地点再次变得适宜,蟾蜍就会比捕食者更快地在这些地点定居,从而形成一段无捕食者的空间。

  4. 我们将这种动态归因于一种存储效应,即在干旱期间蟾蜍在溪流环境之外生存,当它们再次变得适宜时,它们会迅速占领这些地点。我们的结果支持了即使在高度连通的溪流网络中,时间干扰也可以构建繁殖两栖动物遇到非本地捕食者的频率。

  5. 动态多状态占有率模型是严格检验物种间和物种-栖息地相互作用假说的有力工具。与以前基于占有率静态模式推断动态过程的方法相比,我们采用的方法允许直接估计决定物种-物种和物种-栖息地相互作用的动态过程。

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