Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Minnesota, St. Paul 55108, USA.
J Dairy Sci. 2012 Jul;95(7):4141-52. doi: 10.3168/jds.2011-4550.
This prospective longitudinal observational study was conducted to evaluate the effect of a standardized control program on the incidence of Johne's disease in 8 dairy herds in Minnesota. Depending on recruitment year, herds were followed for between 5 and 10 yr. Program compliance was evaluated using a cohort risk assessment score by birth cohort. Fecal samples from cows in study herds were tested annually using bacterial culture to detect Mycobacterium avium ssp. paratuberculosis (MAP), and serum samples from study cows were tested using an ELISA to detect antibodies to MAP. Clinical Johne's disease was also recorded. Cohort risk assessment score decreased along birth cohorts. Depending on the follow-up period in each herd, 5 to 8 birth cohorts were followed to describe changes in time to MAP bacterial culture positivity, serum ELISA positivity, MAP heavy shedding status, and clinical Johne's disease. The analysis of time to bacterial culture positivity, serum ELISA positivity, heavy fecal shedding status, and clinical Johne's disease using a time-dependent Cox regression indicated a reduction of the instantaneous hazard ratio by birth cohorts and by cohort risk score; however, the strength of association between the cohort risk score and each of the 4 disease outcomes decreased over time. The age at which the cows first tested positive for bacterial culture, serum ELISA, and heavy fecal shedding, and the age of the cows at onset of clinical Johne's disease signs remained constant for all birth cohorts. Based on herd risk scores, overall herds complied with the recommended management practices in the program. Results were consistent with a within-herd reduction of Johne's disease transmission, and that reduction was associated with herd-level management practices implemented as part of the control program.
本前瞻性纵向观察研究旨在评估标准化控制方案对明尼苏达州 8 个奶牛场的约翰氏病发病率的影响。根据招募年份的不同,对这些牛群进行了 5 至 10 年的跟踪调查。通过基于出生队列的队列风险评估评分来评估方案的合规性。使用细菌培养法每年对研究牛群中的奶牛粪便样本进行检测,以检测出分枝杆菌 avium ssp. paratuberculosis (MAP);使用 ELISA 法对研究奶牛的血清样本进行检测,以检测出 MAP 抗体。还记录了临床型约翰氏病。随着出生队列的推移,队列风险评估评分逐渐降低。根据每个牛群的随访时间,我们跟踪了 5 到 8 个出生队列,以描述 MAP 细菌培养阳性、血清 ELISA 阳性、MAP 大量排菌状态和临床型约翰氏病的时间变化。使用时间依赖性 Cox 回归分析表明,随着出生队列和队列风险评分的增加,细菌培养阳性、血清 ELISA 阳性、大量粪便排菌状态和临床型约翰氏病的瞬时风险比均呈下降趋势;然而,随着时间的推移,队列风险评分与 4 种疾病结果之间的关联强度逐渐减弱。牛群首次进行细菌培养、血清 ELISA 检测和大量粪便排菌的阳性年龄以及临床型约翰氏病症状发病的牛群年龄,在所有出生队列中保持不变。根据牛群风险评分,总体而言,牛群符合方案中推荐的管理实践。结果表明,牛群内部的约翰氏病传播有所减少,这种减少与作为控制方案一部分实施的牛群级管理实践有关。