Viertel Centre for Research in Cancer Control, Cancer Council Queensland, Spring Hill, Brisbane, QLD 4001, Australia.
Cancer Causes Control. 2012 Aug;23(8):1387-98. doi: 10.1007/s10552-012-9990-1. Epub 2012 May 22.
To quantify the demographic and clinical factors associated with an increased risk of multiple primary cancers (MPCs) among colorectal cancer survivors.
Standardized incidence ratios for MPCs were calculated for residents of Queensland, Australia, who were diagnosed with a first primary colorectal cancer between 1996 and 2005 and survived for at least 2 months. Relative risk ratios were calculated for all MPCs combined and selected individual sites using multivariate Poisson models.
A total of 1,615 MPCs were observed among 15,755 study patients. The cohort had a significant excess risk of developing subsequent colorectal (SIR = 1.47, 95 % CI 1.30-1.66) or non-colorectal (SIR = 1.24, 95 % CI 1.18-1.31) cancers relative to the incidence of cancer in the general population. Age at initial diagnosis, follow-up time, initial colorectal subsite, and surgical treatment were independently associated (p < 0.01) with the overall risk of developing MPCs after adjustment. The relative risk ratio was 1.23 (95 % CI 1.07-1.41) for those aged 20-59 years compared with the 70-79 age group and 0.82 (95 % CI 0.72-0.92) for 1-5-year follow-up relative to the first year. The likelihood of being diagnosed with a MPC was 33 % higher (95 % CI 1.12-1.56) for surgically treated patients and 45 % higher (95 % CI 1.29-1.64) after proximal colon cancers relative to rectal cancer.
While these population-based results do not incorporate all possible risk factors, they form an important foundation from which to further investigate the etiological causes that result in the development of MPCs among colorectal cancer survivors.
量化与结直肠癌幸存者发生多种原发性癌症(MPCs)风险增加相关的人口统计学和临床因素。
为澳大利亚昆士兰州的居民计算了 MPC 的标准化发病率比,这些居民在 1996 年至 2005 年间被诊断出患有第一原发性结直肠癌,并至少存活了 2 个月。使用多变量泊松模型计算了所有 MPC 以及选定的单个部位的相对风险比。
在 15755 名研究患者中观察到 1615 例 MPC。与普通人群的癌症发病率相比,该队列发生随后的结直肠(SIR = 1.47,95%CI 1.30-1.66)或非结直肠(SIR = 1.24,95%CI 1.18-1.31)癌症的风险显著增加。初始诊断时的年龄、随访时间、初始结直肠亚部位和手术治疗与 MPC 总体风险独立相关(p<0.01),调整后。与 70-79 岁年龄组相比,年龄在 20-59 岁的患者的相对风险比为 1.23(95%CI 1.07-1.41),与第 1 年相比,随访时间为 1-5 年的患者的相对风险比为 0.82(95%CI 0.72-0.92)。与直肠癌相比,手术治疗患者诊断 MPC 的可能性高 33%(95%CI 1.12-1.56),而近端结肠癌患者高 45%(95%CI 1.29-1.64)。
尽管这些基于人群的结果没有包含所有可能的危险因素,但它们为进一步研究导致结直肠癌幸存者发生 MPC 的病因提供了重要基础。