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假设生成的时间动态:数据序列顺序、数据一致性和引出时机的影响。

Temporal dynamics of hypothesis generation: the influences of data serial order, data consistency, and elicitation timing.

作者信息

Lange Nicholas D, Thomas Rick P, Davelaar Eddy J

机构信息

Department of Psychological Sciences, Birkbeck College, University of London London, UK.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2012 Jun 29;3:215. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2012.00215. eCollection 2012.

DOI:10.3389/fpsyg.2012.00215
PMID:22754547
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3386498/
Abstract

The pre-decisional process of hypothesis generation is a ubiquitous cognitive faculty that we continually employ in an effort to understand our environment and thereby support appropriate judgments and decisions. Although we are beginning to understand the fundamental processes underlying hypothesis generation, little is known about how various temporal dynamics, inherent in real world generation tasks, influence the retrieval of hypotheses from long-term memory. This paper presents two experiments investigating three data acquisition dynamics in a simulated medical diagnosis task. The results indicate that the mere serial order of data, data consistency (with previously generated hypotheses), and mode of responding influence the hypothesis generation process. An extension of the HyGene computational model endowed with dynamic data acquisition processes is forwarded and explored to provide an account of the present data.

摘要

假设生成的决策前过程是一种普遍存在的认知能力,我们不断运用它来理解我们的环境,从而支持恰当的判断和决策。尽管我们开始理解假设生成背后的基本过程,但对于现实世界生成任务中固有的各种时间动态如何影响从长期记忆中检索假设却知之甚少。本文介绍了两项实验,研究模拟医学诊断任务中的三种数据获取动态。结果表明,数据的单纯序列顺序、数据一致性(与先前生成的假设)以及反应模式会影响假设生成过程。提出并探讨了一个扩展的HyGene计算模型,该模型具备动态数据获取过程,以解释当前的数据。

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Front Psychol. 2011 Jun 17;2:129. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2011.00129. eCollection 2011.
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Memory activation and the availability of explanations in sequential diagnostic reasoning.
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