Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2012 Sep;21(9):1531-41. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-12-0481-T. Epub 2012 Jul 3.
High circulating insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I) concentrations have been associated with increased risk for prostate cancer in several prospective epidemiological studies. In this study, we investigate the association between circulating IGF-I concentration and risk of prostate cancer over the long term in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) study.
In a nested case-control design, 1,542 incident prostate cancer cases from eight European countries were individually matched to 1,542 controls by study center, age at recruitment, duration of follow-up, time of day, and duration of fasting at blood collection. Conditional logistic regression models were used to calculate risk for prostate cancer associated with IGF-I concentration, overall and by various subgroups.
Circulating IGF-I concentration was associated with a significant increased risk for prostate cancer [OR for highest vs. lowest quartile, 1.69; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.35-2.13; P(trend) = 0.0002]. This positive association did not differ according to duration of follow-up [ORs for highest vs. lowest quartile were 2.01 (1.35-2.99), 1.37 (0.94-2.00), and 1.80 (1.17-2.77) for cancers diagnosed <4, 4-7, and >7 years after blood collection, respectively (P(heterogeneity) = 0.77)] or by stage, grade, and age at diagnosis or age at blood collection (all subgroups P(heterogeneity) >0.05).
In this European population, high circulating IGF-I concentration is positively associated with risk for prostate cancer over the short and long term.
As IGF-I is the only potentially modifiable risk factor so far identified, research into the effects of reducing circulating IGF-I levels on subsequent prostate cancer risk is warranted.
多项前瞻性流行病学研究表明,循环胰岛素样生长因子-I(IGF-I)浓度较高与前列腺癌风险增加相关。在这项研究中,我们在欧洲癌症与营养前瞻性调查(EPIC)研究中调查了循环 IGF-I 浓度与长期前列腺癌风险之间的关联。
采用巢式病例对照设计,8 个欧洲国家的 1542 例前列腺癌新发病例与通过研究中心、招募时的年龄、随访时间、采血时的一天中的时间和禁食时间进行个体匹配的 1542 名对照相匹配。采用条件 logistic 回归模型计算 IGF-I 浓度与前列腺癌风险之间的相关性,总体上以及按各种亚组计算。
循环 IGF-I 浓度与前列腺癌风险显著增加相关[最高与最低四分位数的比值比(OR),1.69;95%置信区间(CI),1.35-2.13;P(趋势)=0.0002]。这种正相关与随访时间无关[最高与最低四分位数的比值比分别为 2.01(1.35-2.99)、1.37(0.94-2.00)和 1.80(1.17-2.77),分别用于诊断为采血后 <4 年、4-7 年和 >7 年的癌症(P(异质性)=0.77)]或按肿瘤分期、分级和诊断时年龄或采血时年龄进行分层(所有亚组 P(异质性)>0.05)。
在欧洲人群中,循环 IGF-I 浓度高与短期和长期的前列腺癌风险呈正相关。
由于 IGF-I 是迄今为止唯一确定的潜在可改变的风险因素,因此有必要研究降低循环 IGF-I 水平对随后前列腺癌风险的影响。