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国际专家德尔菲研究确定重大事件管理研究需求。

An international expert Delphi study to determine research needs in major incident management.

机构信息

Centre for Effective Emergency Care, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK.

出版信息

Prehosp Disaster Med. 2012 Aug;27(4):351-8. doi: 10.1017/S1049023X12000982. Epub 2012 Jul 19.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To collate the opinions of experts and to reach consensus about the research priorities in the management of major incidents.

DESIGN

A three-round e-Delphi study was conducted using an international panel of experts drawn from active researchers and active educators in major incident management. General areas for consideration were derived from the literature analysis undertaken as part of the overall project.

RESULTS

Experts generated 221 statements in 11 topic areas in the first round. Fifty-one of these statements reached consensus in Round 2. A further 23 statements reached consensus in Round 3, leaving 147 statements that did not reach consensus.

CONCLUSIONS

An international expert panel reached consensus on 74 topics of research priority in major incidents management. The strongest themes within these topics were education and training, planning, and communication.

摘要

目的

整理专家意见,就重大事件管理方面的研究重点达成共识。

设计

采用三轮电子德尔菲研究法,利用重大事件管理方面的活跃研究人员和活跃教育工作者国际专家小组进行。一般考虑领域源自作为整个项目一部分而进行的文献分析。

结果

专家在第一轮的 11 个主题领域提出了 221 项意见。其中 51 项意见在第二轮达成共识。在第三轮又有 23 项意见达成共识,其余 147 项意见未达成共识。

结论

国际专家小组就重大事件管理方面的 74 项研究重点达成共识。这些主题内的最强主题是教育和培训、规划和沟通。

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