Department of Society, Human Development and Health, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Epidemiology. 2012 Sep;23(5):657-64. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0b013e318261c7cc.
Concerns have been raised that education may have greater benefits for persons at high risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) than for those at low risk.
We estimated the association of education (less than high school, high school, or college graduates) with 10-year CHD risk and body mass index (BMI), using linear and quantile regression models, in the following two nationally representative datasets: the 2006 wave of the Health and Retirement Survey and the 2003-2008 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).
Higher educational attainment was associated with lower 10-year CHD risk for all groups. However, the magnitude of this association varied considerably across quantiles for some subgroups. For example, among women in NHANES, a high school degree was associated with 4% (95% confidence interval = -9% to 1%) and 17% (-24% to -8%) lower CHD risk in the 10th and 90th percentiles, respectively. For BMI, a college degree was associated with uniform decreases across the distribution for women, but with varying increases for men. Compared with those who had not completed high school, male college graduates in the NHANES sample had a BMI that was 6% greater (2% to 11%) at the 10th percentile of the BMI distribution and 7% lower (-10% to -3%) at the 90th percentile (ie, overweight/obese). Estimates from the Health and Retirement Survey sample and the marginal quantile regression models showed similar patterns.
Conventional regression methods may mask important variations in the associations between education and CHD risk.
有人担心,教育对冠心病(CHD)高危人群的益处可能大于低危人群。
我们使用线性和分位数回归模型,在以下两个具有全国代表性的数据集(健康与退休调查 2006 年波和 2003-2008 年全国健康与营养调查)中,估计了教育程度(未完成高中学业、高中学业或大学毕业)与 10 年 CHD 风险和体重指数(BMI)的关系。
高学历与所有人群的 10 年 CHD 风险降低相关。然而,这种关联的幅度在某些亚组的分位数上有很大差异。例如,在 NHANES 中的女性中,高中学历与第 10 百分位和第 90 百分位的 CHD 风险分别降低 4%(95%置信区间为-9%至 1%)和 17%(-24%至-8%)。对于 BMI,大学学历与女性分布中的均匀降低相关,但与男性的变化不同。与未完成高中学业的人相比,NHANES 样本中的男性大学毕业生的 BMI 在 BMI 分布的第 10 百分位增加了 6%(2%至 11%),而在第 90 百分位降低了 7%(-10%至-3%)(即超重/肥胖)。健康与退休调查样本和边际分位数回归模型的估计结果显示出相似的模式。
传统的回归方法可能掩盖了教育与 CHD 风险之间关联的重要变化。