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混合事件对小型住宿学院中 pH1N1 疫情动态的影响。

The effect of mixing events on the dynamics of pH1N1 outbreaks at small residential colleges.

机构信息

Department of Biology, Bates College, Lewiston, Maine 04240, USA.

出版信息

J Am Coll Health. 2012;60(6):485-9. doi: 10.1080/07448481.2012.696294.

DOI:10.1080/07448481.2012.696294
PMID:22857142
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The authors examine the dynamics and the impact of all-campus events on pH1N1 spread at Bates College in fall 2009, with comparisons to 3 other campuses.

PARTICIPANTS

Students (N = 285) presented or called in to the Bates Health Center with symptoms consistent with influenza-like illness.

METHODS

Health Center staff at Bates collected data on the outbreak; data from other colleges are from Web sites and journal articles. Data were analyzed using a mathematical model for influenza.

RESULTS

Bates held 2 vaccine clinics mid-outbreak. The data are consistent with the hypothesis that the vaccine clinics may have altered routine student interactions, facilitating transmission of pH1N1 among students who otherwise might not have encountered each other.

CONCLUSION

The vaccine clinics, held when vaccine became available, were too late to halt transmission. The disruptions to campus rhythms due to the vaccine clinics may instead have contributed to pH1N1 spread.

摘要

目的

作者研究了 2009 年秋季 Bates 学院全员活动对 pH1N1 传播的动态和影响,并与其他 3 个校区进行了比较。

参与者

有流感样症状并到 Bates 健康中心就诊或打电话就诊的学生(N=285)。

方法

Bates 健康中心的工作人员收集了疫情爆发的数据;其他学院的数据来自网站和期刊文章。使用流感数学模型进行了数据分析。

结果

Bates 在疫情中期举行了 2 次疫苗接种诊。数据与以下假设一致:疫苗接种诊可能改变了学生的日常互动,促进了 pH1N1 在本不会相遇的学生之间的传播。

结论

当疫苗可用时举行的疫苗接种诊为时已晚,无法阻止传播。疫苗接种诊扰乱了校园节奏,反而可能导致 pH1N1 的传播。

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