Sellers R F, Gibbs E P, Herniman K A, Pedgley D E, Tucker M R
J Hyg (Lond). 1979 Dec;83(3):547-55. doi: 10.1017/s0022172400026401.
Possible origins of an epidemic of bluetongue in Cyprus in August 1977 have been analysed. First outbreaks occurred simultaneously in the south-east of the Famagusta district and on the north coast of the Kyrenia district respectively. Although the epidemic was due to type 4, which had been responsible for the previous outbreak in 1969, no evidence of persistance of virus could be found. Imports of domestic animals in the past year were not implicated since the imported cattle were introduced only to the southern part and not to the northern part of the island. Easterly, north-easterly and northerly winds during the period 11-14 August could have brought infected midges at a height of 0.5--1.5 km from Syria and Turkey, and such a movement would fit well the dates of the first outbreaks (20-25 August). Temperatures at a height of 1.5 km were 20-25 degrees C and at 0.5 km 30 35 degrees C, and with wind speeds 10-20 km h-1 the distance from Turkey and Syria would have been covered in 5-20 h. It follows that, in addition to surface winds, winds at all levels warm enough for flight should be taken into account when the possibility of disease spread by windborne midges is being assessed.
对1977年8月塞浦路斯蓝舌病疫情的可能起源进行了分析。首次疫情分别同时发生在法马古斯塔区东南部和凯里尼亚区北海岸。尽管此次疫情是由4型病毒引起的,该型病毒曾导致1969年的上一次疫情,但未发现病毒持续存在的证据。过去一年家畜的进口与此次疫情无关,因为进口的牛只被引入到了该岛的南部而非北部。8月11日至14日期间的东风、东北风和北风可能带来了来自叙利亚和土耳其、高度在0.5至1.5千米的感染蠓虫,这样的移动与首次疫情发生的日期(8月20日至25日)非常吻合。1.5千米高度处的温度为20至25摄氏度,0.5千米高度处为30至35摄氏度,风速为10至20千米/小时,从土耳其和叙利亚的距离在5至20小时内即可覆盖。由此可见,在评估蠓虫随风传播疾病的可能性时,除了地面风之外,还应考虑所有适合飞行的暖层风。