Anderson A, Shwiff S, Gebhardt K, Ramírez A J, Shwiff S, Kohler D, Lecuona L
USDA/WS/National Wildlife Research Center, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
Transbound Emerg Dis. 2014 Apr;61(2):140-6. doi: 10.1111/tbed.12007. Epub 2012 Sep 18.
Vampire bat rabies causes significant impacts within its endemic range in Mexico. These impacts include livestock mortality, animal testing costs, post-exposure prophylaxis costs, and human mortality risk. Mitigation of the impacts can be achieved by vaccinating livestock and controlling vampire bat populations. A benefit-cost analysis was performed to examine the economic efficiency of these methods of mitigation, and Monte Carlo simulations were used to examine the impact that uncertainty has on the analysis. We found that livestock vaccination is efficient, with benefits being over six times higher than costs. However, bat control is inefficient because benefits are very unlikely to exceed costs. It is concluded that when these mitigation methods are judged by the metric of economic efficiency, livestock vaccination is desirable but bat control is not.
吸血蝙蝠狂犬病在其墨西哥的地方流行范围内造成了重大影响。这些影响包括牲畜死亡、动物检测成本、暴露后预防成本以及人类死亡风险。通过给牲畜接种疫苗和控制吸血蝙蝠种群可以减轻这些影响。进行了一项效益成本分析，以检验这些减轻影响方法的经济效率，并使用蒙特卡洛模拟来检验不确定性对分析的影响。我们发现，给牲畜接种疫苗是有效的，效益比成本高出六倍以上。然而，控制蝙蝠效率低下，因为效益极不可能超过成本。得出的结论是，当根据经济效率指标来评判这些减轻影响的方法时，给牲畜接种疫苗是可取的，但控制蝙蝠则不可取。
