Tinkoff G, Rhodes M, Diamond D, Lucke J
Department of Surgery, Lehigh Valley Hospital Center, Allentown, Pennsylvania.
Ann Surg. 1990 Feb;211(2):172-7. doi: 10.1097/00000658-199002000-00009.
To evaluate the impact cirrhosis has on survival the records of 40 cirrhotic trauma victims from the registries of two Level 1 trauma centers were reviewed and probability of survival calculated using the TRISS methodology. Mechanism of injury, anatomic location, involvement of single or multiple sites, presence of ascites, elevations in serum glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase (SGOT), alkaline phosphatase, serum bilirubin, prothrombin time (PT), and hypoalbuminemia were tabulated for each patient. Contingency tables were created for injury and hepatic parameters, as related to survival, and subjected to chi square analysis. Loglinear analysis was performed on all significant parameters to evaluate the independent effects of injury characteristics and hepatic insufficiency on survival. Predicted survival was 93%; observed survival was 70% (Z = -6.92; p less than 0.001). Cause of death was multiple-system organ failure (9) and closed head injury (3). Admission markers of poor outcome included one or more of the following: ascites, elevated PT or bilirubin, history of motor vehicle accident, multiple trauma, or blunt abdominal trauma requiring laparotomy. Loglinear analysis revealed that the presence of ascites, elevated PT, or bilirubin, further diminished the rate of survival for any individual injury characteristic. We concluded that survival among cirrhotic trauma victims was significantly lower than predicted. In addition the presence of hepatic insufficiency further diminishes survival, regardless of the injury sustained.
为评估肝硬化对生存率的影响,我们回顾了两个一级创伤中心登记的40例肝硬化创伤患者的记录,并使用TRISS方法计算生存率。记录每位患者的受伤机制、解剖位置、单部位或多部位损伤情况、腹水的存在、血清谷草转氨酶(SGOT)、碱性磷酸酶、血清胆红素、凝血酶原时间(PT)升高以及低白蛋白血症情况。针对与生存相关的损伤和肝脏参数创建列联表,并进行卡方分析。对所有显著参数进行对数线性分析,以评估损伤特征和肝功能不全对生存的独立影响。预测生存率为93%;观察到的生存率为70%(Z = -6.92;p < 0.001)。死因是多系统器官衰竭(9例)和闭合性颅脑损伤(3例)。预后不良的入院指标包括以下一项或多项:腹水、PT或胆红素升高、机动车事故史、多发伤或需要剖腹手术的钝性腹部创伤。对数线性分析显示,腹水、PT或胆红素升高的存在,进一步降低了任何个体损伤特征的生存率。我们得出结论,肝硬化创伤患者的生存率显著低于预期。此外,无论遭受何种损伤,肝功能不全的存在都会进一步降低生存率。