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挪威摩托车手的交通安全:亚组和危险因素研究。

Traffic safety among motorcyclists in Norway: a study of subgroups and risk factors.

机构信息

The Institute of Transport Economics, Gaustadalléen 21, 0349 Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2012 Nov;49:50-7. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.051. Epub 2011 Dec 23.

Abstract

Although it is widely recognized that motorcyclists have a particularly high accident risk, our knowledge of the mechanisms producing this accident risk is incomplete. The aims of the present paper are to identify subgroups of motorcyclists with a particularly high accident risk and to identify the relevant risk factors at work. The study presented in this paper relies both on a questionnaire (N=3356) relating rider characteristics, behaviors and accident risk, and analyses of fatal motorcycle accidents (ca. 100) from 2005 to 2008 in Norway. The results reveal that riders of racing replica bikes (sport bikes), and riders younger than 19 years, including especially youths (16-17 years) riding light motorcycles (≤125 cm(3)), are subgroups of Norwegian motorcyclists with particularly high accident risks. Analysis of fatal motorcycle accidents reveals that about half of the fatal accidents involve sport bikes. Nearly all fatal accidents with sport bikes involved excessive speed. The combination of low age, low experience, risky behavior and "unsafe" attitudes seems to be a particular potent risk factor for Norwegian motorcyclists.

摘要

尽管人们普遍认识到摩托车手的事故风险特别高,但我们对产生这种事故风险的机制的了解并不完整。本文的目的是确定具有特别高事故风险的摩托车手亚组,并确定工作中的相关风险因素。本文所呈现的研究既依赖于一份与骑手特征、行为和事故风险相关的问卷(N=3356),也依赖于对 2005 年至 2008 年挪威约 100 起致命摩托车事故的分析。结果表明,赛车仿冒自行车(运动自行车)的骑手和 19 岁以下的骑手,包括特别是 16-17 岁的年轻人(16-17 岁)驾驶轻便摩托车(≤125cm³),是挪威摩托车手具有特别高事故风险的亚组。对致命摩托车事故的分析表明,约一半的致命事故涉及运动自行车。几乎所有涉及运动自行车的致命事故都涉及超速。低年龄、低经验、危险行为和“不安全”态度的结合似乎是挪威摩托车手的一个特别危险的因素。

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