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1962-2004 年意大利轮胎制造厂工人队列研究。

Cohort study of workers employed in an Italian tire manufacturing plant, 1962-2004.

机构信息

Unit of Cancer Epidemiology, University of Turin and CPO-Piemonte, via Santena 7, 10125, Turin, Italy.

出版信息

Cancer Causes Control. 2012 Dec;23(12):2023-9. doi: 10.1007/s10552-012-0083-y. Epub 2012 Oct 20.

Abstract

PURPOSE

To investigate mortality and bladder cancer incidence among workers of a tire manufacturing plant where antioxidants severely contaminated by beta-naphthylamine were never used.

METHODS

Mortality follow-up was performed of 9,501 workers first hired between 1962 when the plant started operations and 2000. Person-years of observation from 1962 to 2004, expected deaths, and standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated. Follow-up for bladder cancer incidence from 1988 to 2003 was carried out, and standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were calculated. Multivariable (Poisson) analyses of bladder cancer incidence and mortality by duration of employment (DOE) and time since first employment (TSFE) were performed.

RESULTS

Among men, SMRs were significantly reduced for all causes, all cancers, lung cancer, cardiovascular, and ischemic heart diseases. Bladder cancer mortality and leukemia mortality were close to expectation but increased with TSFE. Seventy-two incident cases of bladder cancer were observed (SIR = 1.15; 95 % confidence interval 0.90-1.44), and multivariable analysis suggested a possible increase in rate ratios with DOE. Among women, mortality was close to expectation, but the limited number of observed deaths prevented detailed analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

No significant cancer excess was observed. A suggestion of increased risks of bladder cancer and leukemias after extended TSFE was present in men, deserving consideration as exposure to carcinogens possibly occurred early in plant operation. Furthermore, this cohort of workers is still relatively young and less than 10 % have died. There was, thus, limited power to detect small increases in risk at rare cancer sites. Further epidemiological surveillance of this cohort is planned.

摘要

目的

调查一家轮胎制造工厂工人的死亡率和膀胱癌发病率,该工厂从未使用过严重受到β-萘胺污染的抗氧化剂。

方法

对 1962 年工厂开始运营至 2000 年期间首次雇用的 9501 名工人进行了死亡率随访。计算了 1962 年至 2004 年的观察人年数、预期死亡人数和标准化死亡率比(SMR)。对 1988 年至 2003 年的膀胱癌发病率进行了随访,并计算了标准化发病率比(SIR)。对膀胱癌发病率和死亡率进行了多变量(泊松)分析,分析因素为就业持续时间(DOE)和首次就业后的时间(TSFE)。

结果

在男性中,所有原因、所有癌症、肺癌、心血管疾病和缺血性心脏病的 SMR 均显著降低。膀胱癌死亡率和白血病死亡率接近预期,但随着 TSFE 的增加而增加。观察到 72 例膀胱癌病例(SIR = 1.15;95%置信区间 0.90-1.44),多变量分析表明,DOE 可能与膀胱癌发病率比的增加有关。在女性中,死亡率接近预期,但由于观察到的死亡人数有限,无法进行详细分析。

结论

未观察到明显的癌症高发。男性 TSFE 延长后膀胱癌和白血病风险增加的可能性提示需要考虑,因为可能在工厂运营早期就接触到了致癌物质。此外,该队列的工人仍相对年轻,不到 10%的人已经死亡。因此,在罕见的癌症部位检测到小风险增加的能力有限。计划对该队列进行进一步的流行病学监测。

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