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巴西圣保罗州包鲁市内脏利什曼病的时空聚集性分析。

Space-time cluster analysis of American visceral leishmaniasis in Bauru, São Paulo State, Brazil.

机构信息

Faculdade de Medicina Veterinária e Zootecnia, Universidade de São Paulo,Rua Gal. Bagnuolo 1026, São Paulo, Brazil.

出版信息

Cad Saude Publica. 2012 Oct;28(10):1949-64. doi: 10.1590/s0102-311x2012001000013.

Abstract

A space-time analysis of American visceral leishmaniasis (AVL) in humans in the city of Bauru, São Paulo State, Brazil was carried out based on 239 cases diagnosed between June 2003 and October 2008. Spatial analysis of the disease showed that cases occurred especially in the city's urban areas. AVL annual incidence rates were calculated, demonstrating that the highest rate occurred in 2006 (19.55/100,000 inhabitants). This finding was confirmed by the time series analysis, which also showed a positive tendency over the period analyzed. The present study allows us to conclude that the disease was clustered in the Southwest side of the city in 2006, suggesting that this area may require special attention with regard to control and prevention measures.

摘要

对 2003 年 6 月至 2008 年 10 月期间诊断的 239 例巴西圣保罗州包鲁市人类内脏利什曼病(AVL)病例进行了时空分析。疾病的空间分析表明,病例主要发生在城市地区。计算了 AVL 的年发病率,表明 2006 年的发病率最高(19.55/100,000 居民)。时间序列分析证实了这一发现,该分析还显示在此期间呈阳性趋势。本研究表明,2006 年该疾病在城市的西南侧呈聚集性分布,提示该地区可能需要特别注意控制和预防措施。

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