Motlagh Me, Safari R, Karami M, Khosravi A
Dept. of Pediatrics, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran.
Iran J Public Health. 2012;41(9):18-24. Epub 2012 Sep 1.
Life expectancy at birth as an alternative summary measure of mortality represents number of years which a newborn will be alive based on the current age specific death rates. As it summarizes death rates across all age range in a given population is the most common summary measure of mortality. The aim of this study was to correct death rates for underreport and estimate life expectancy at birth in rural population of Iran in 2008. In addition, this study aimed to assess the Vital Horoscope system's data quality.
Data were obtained from all Health Houses in Iranian villages in 2008. In order to adjust over 5 years old death rates for underreport, we used Brass Growth Balance method. Since this method is not applicable to under 5 years old, we used child mortality rates projected based on the Iranian Demographic and Health survey 2000 to correct death rates.
Adjusted life expectancy at birth for males was 71.5 year and for females was 74.4 year. Completeness of the death data was 88% for males and 79% for females. Adjusted child (under 5) mortality rate by sex in males and females was 25.9 and 23.8 per 1000 live births respectively. Adult mortality for males was 167.2 and 98.3 for females per 1000.
Data based on Vital Horoscope system are a suitable source to estimate life expectancy and other mortality statistics. Also has an acceptable completeness on death registration. Further studies to investigate accuracy of data from the Vital Horoscope system are suggested.
出生时预期寿命作为死亡率的替代汇总指标,代表基于当前特定年龄死亡率新生儿预期存活的年数。由于它汇总了给定人群所有年龄范围的死亡率,是最常用的死亡率汇总指标。本研究的目的是校正漏报的死亡率,并估计2008年伊朗农村人口的出生时预期寿命。此外,本研究旨在评估生命占星系统的数据质量。
数据来自2008年伊朗所有村庄的卫生站。为了校正5岁以上漏报的死亡率,我们使用了布拉斯增长平衡法。由于该方法不适用于5岁以下儿童,我们使用基于2000年伊朗人口与健康调查预测的儿童死亡率来校正死亡率。
校正后的男性出生时预期寿命为71.5岁,女性为74.4岁。男性死亡数据的完整性为88%,女性为79%。按性别调整后的5岁以下儿童死亡率,男性和女性分别为每1000例活产25.9例和23.8例。男性成人死亡率为每1000人167.2例,女性为98.3例。
基于生命占星系统的数据是估计预期寿命和其他死亡率统计数据的合适来源。在死亡登记方面也具有可接受的完整性。建议进一步研究以调查生命占星系统数据的准确性。