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你宁愿现在生病,还是以后生病?

Would you rather be ill now, or later?

机构信息

Health Economics, Erasmus University Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Health Econ. 2013 Dec;22(12):1496-506. doi: 10.1002/hec.2894. Epub 2012 Dec 11.

Abstract

The time tradeoff (TTO) method is frequently used to calculate the quality adjustment of the quality adjusted life year and is therefore an important element in the calculation of the benefits of medical interventions. New specifications of TTO, known as 'lead time' TTO and 'lag time' TTO, have been developed to overcome methodological issues of the 'classic' TTO. In the lead time TTO, ill-health is explicitly placed in the future, after a period of good health, whereas in lag time TTO, a health state starts immediately and is followed by a 'lag time' of good health. In this study, we take advantage of these timing properties of lead and lag time TTO. In particular, we use data from a previous study that employed lead and lag time TTO to estimate their implied discounting parameters. We show that individuals prefer being ill later, rather than now, with larger per-period discount rates for longer durations of the health states.

摘要

时间权衡(TTO)方法常用于计算质量调整生命年的质量调整,因此是计算医疗干预措施效益的重要因素。已经开发出 TTO 的新规范,称为“领先时间”TTO 和“滞后时间”TTO,以克服“经典”TTO 的方法问题。在领先时间 TTO 中,不健康状况明确地放在健康期之后的未来,而在滞后时间 TTO 中,健康状况立即开始,并随后经历一段健康期的“滞后时间”。在这项研究中,我们利用了领先时间和滞后时间 TTO 的这些时间特性。特别是,我们使用了先前一项研究的数据,该研究使用了领先时间和滞后时间 TTO 来估计其隐含的折扣参数。我们表明,个人更愿意以后生病,而不是现在,健康状态的持续时间越长,每个期间的折扣率就越大。

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