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估计万维网市场的种群生态模型:竞争性寡头垄断的证据。

Estimating population ecology models for the WWW market: evidence of competitive oligopolies.

作者信息

de Cabo Ruth Mateos, Gimeno Ricardo

机构信息

Universidad CEU San Pablo, Madid, Spain.

出版信息

Nonlinear Dynamics Psychol Life Sci. 2013 Jan;17(1):159-72.

Abstract

This paper proposes adapting a particle filtering algorithm to model online Spanish real estate and job search market segments based on the Lotka-Volterra competition equations. For this purpose the authors use data on Internet information searches from Google Trends to proxy for market share. Market share evolution estimations are coherent with those observed in Google Trends. The results show evidence of low website incompatibility in the markets analyzed. Competitive oligopolies are most common in such low-competition markets, instead of the monopolies predicted by theoretical ecology models under strong competition conditions.

摘要

本文提出采用粒子滤波算法,基于洛特卡-沃尔泰拉竞争方程对西班牙在线房地产和求职市场细分进行建模。为此,作者使用来自谷歌趋势的互联网信息搜索数据来代表市场份额。市场份额演变估计与谷歌趋势中观察到的情况一致。结果表明,在所分析的市场中,网站不兼容性较低。在这种低竞争市场中,竞争性寡头垄断最为常见,而非理论生态模型预测的在强竞争条件下的垄断。

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