Kwon Steve, Symons Rebecca, Yukawa Michi, Dasher Nikolas, Legner Victor, Flum David R
Department of Surgery, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Am Surg. 2012 Dec;78(12):1336-44.
This prospective cohort study sought to identify predictors of functional decline in patients aged 65 years or older who underwent major, nonemergent abdominal or thoracic surgery in our tertiary hospital from 2006 to 2008. We used the Stanford Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (HAQ-DI) to evaluate functional decline; a 0.1 or greater increase was used to indicate a clinically significant decline. The preoperative Duke Activity Status Index (DASI) and a physical function score (PFS), assessing gait speed, grip strength, balance, and standing speed, were evaluated as predictors of decline. We enrolled 215 patients (71.2 ± 5.2 years; 56.7% female); 204 completed follow-up HAQ assessments (71.1 ± 5.3 years; 57.8% female). A significant number of patients had functional decline out to 1 year. Postoperative HAQ-DI increases of 0.1 or greater occurred in 45.3 per cent at 1 month, 30.1 per cent at 3 months, and 28.3 per cent at 1 year. Preoperative DASI and PFS scores were not predictors of functional decline. Male sex at 1 month (odds ratio [OR], 3.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.41 to 6.85); American Society of Anesthesiologists class (OR, 3.41; 95% CI, 1.31 to 8.86), smoking (OR, 3.15; 95% CI, 1.27 to 7.85), and length of stay (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.16) at 3 months; and cancer diagnosis at 1 year (OR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.14 to 5.96) were associated with functional decline.
这项前瞻性队列研究旨在确定2006年至2008年期间在我们三级医院接受非急诊腹部或胸部大手术的65岁及以上患者功能衰退的预测因素。我们使用斯坦福健康评估问卷残疾指数(HAQ-DI)来评估功能衰退;增加0.1或更多被用来表明临床上有显著衰退。术前杜克活动状态指数(DASI)和评估步态速度、握力、平衡和站立速度的身体功能评分(PFS)被评估为衰退的预测因素。我们纳入了215名患者(71.2±5.2岁;56.7%为女性);204名患者完成了HAQ随访评估(71.1±5.3岁;57.8%为女性)。相当数量的患者在1年内出现功能衰退。术后HAQ-DI增加0.1或更多的情况在1个月时为45.3%,3个月时为30.1%,1年时为28.3%。术前DASI和PFS评分不是功能衰退的预测因素。1个月时的男性性别(优势比[OR],3.05;95%置信区间[CI],1.41至6.85);3个月时的美国麻醉医师协会分级(OR,3.41;95%CI,1.31至8.86)、吸烟(OR,3.15;95%CI,1.27至7.85)和住院时间(OR,1.09;95%CI,1.01至1.16);以及1年时的癌症诊断(OR,2.6;95%CI,1.14至5.96)与功能衰退相关。