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导致涉及自行车的道路碰撞事故的风险因素:准诱发暴露方法的应用。

Risk factors for causing road crashes involving cyclists: An application of a quasi-induced exposure method.

机构信息

Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, University of Granada, Spain.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2013 Mar;51:228-37. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2012.11.023. Epub 2012 Dec 27.

Abstract

A quasi-induced exposure approach was applied to the Spanish Register of Traffic Crashes to identify driver- and vehicle-related factors associated with the risk of causing a road crash involving a cyclist in Spain from 1993 to 2009. We analyzed 19,007 collisions between a bicycle and another vehicle in which only one of the drivers committed an infraction, and 13,540 records that included the group of non-infractor cyclists in the above collisions plus cyclists involved in single-bicycle crashes. Adjusted odds ratios were calculated for being responsible for each type of crash for each factor considered. Age from 10 to 19 years, male sex, alcohol or drug consumption and non-helmet use were cyclist-related variables associated with a higher risk of crash, whereas cycling more than 1h increased only the risk of single crashes. Bicycles with brake defects and ridden by two occupants were also at higher risk of involvement in a crash, whereas light defects were associated only with collisions with another vehicle. For drivers of the other vehicle, age more than 60 years, alcohol, not using safety devices and nonprofessional drivers were at higher risk. The risk of colliding with a bicycle was higher for mopeds than for passenger cars.

摘要

采用准诱导暴露方法对西班牙交通事故登记处的数据进行分析,以确定 1993 年至 2009 年期间西班牙与造成涉及自行车的道路碰撞事故风险相关的驾驶员和车辆因素。我们分析了 19007 起自行车与另一辆车之间的碰撞事故,其中只有一名驾驶员违规,另外还分析了 13540 份记录,其中包括上述碰撞事故中的非违规自行车骑手群体以及涉及单车事故的自行车骑手。对于每个考虑因素,计算了每种类型碰撞事故中每个因素的调整比值。年龄在 10 到 19 岁之间、男性、饮酒或吸毒以及不戴头盔是与自行车骑手相关的变量,这些因素与更高的碰撞风险相关,而骑行时间超过 1 小时只会增加单车事故的风险。刹车有缺陷且有两名乘客骑行的自行车也更有可能发生碰撞事故,而灯光缺陷仅与与另一辆车的碰撞有关。对于另一辆车的驾驶员,年龄超过 60 岁、饮酒、不使用安全装置和非专业驾驶员的风险更高。与汽车相比,轻便摩托车与自行车碰撞的风险更高。

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