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调整骑行暴露量前后,自行车骑行者年龄和性别与事故发生风险的关系。

Association of cyclists' age and sex with risk of involvement in a crash before and after adjustment for cycling exposure.

机构信息

Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, University of Granada, Avda. de Madrid 11, 18012 Granada, Spain; Centros de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Spain.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2014 Jan;62:259-67. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2013.10.011. Epub 2013 Oct 19.

Abstract

This study aimed to estimate the association of cyclists' age and sex with the risk of being involved in a crash with and without adjustment for their amount of exposure. We used the distribution of the entire population and cyclists (total and non-responsible) involved in road crashes in Spain between 1993 and 2009 held by the Spanish National Institute of Statistics and the Spanish General Traffic Directorate to calculate rates of exposure and involvement in a crash. Males aged 45-49 years were used as the reference category to obtain exposure rate ratios (ERR) and unadjusted crash rate ratios (URR). We then used these values in decomposition analysis to calculate crash rate ratios adjusted for exposure (ARR). The pattern of ARR was substantially different from URR. In both sexes the highest values were observed in the youngest age groups, and the values decreased as age increased except for a slight increase in the oldest age groups. In males, a slight increase in the lowest and highest age categories was observed for crashes resulting in severe injury or death, and a decrease was observed for the youngest cyclists who were wearing a helmet. The large differences between age and sex groups in the risk of involvement in a cycling crash are strongly dependent on differences in their exposure rates. Taking exposure rates into account, cyclists younger than 30 years and older than 65 years of age had the highest risk of being involved in a crash.

摘要

这项研究旨在估计自行车骑行者的年龄和性别与发生碰撞的风险之间的关联,同时调整他们的暴露量。我们使用了西班牙国家统计局和西班牙交通总局持有的 1993 年至 2009 年间西班牙道路碰撞事故中涉及的整个人群和自行车手(总人数和非责任方)的分布情况来计算暴露量和碰撞参与率。将 45-49 岁的男性作为参考类别,以获得暴露率比(ERR)和未经调整的碰撞率比(URR)。然后,我们使用这些值进行分解分析,以计算调整暴露量的碰撞率比(ARR)。ARR 的模式与 URR 有很大的不同。在男女两性中,最高值出现在最年轻的年龄组中,随着年龄的增长,数值逐渐降低,除了在最年长的年龄组中略有增加。在男性中,对于导致重伤或死亡的碰撞,最低和最高年龄组的数值略有增加,而戴头盔的最年轻自行车手的数值则有所下降。在涉及自行车碰撞的风险方面,年龄和性别群体之间存在巨大差异,这主要取决于他们的暴露率差异。考虑到暴露率,年龄在 30 岁以下和 65 岁以上的自行车手发生碰撞的风险最高。

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