Center for Population Economics, Booth School of Business, University of Chicago, IL 60612, USA.
Econ Hum Biol. 2013 Jul;11(3):269-80. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2012.12.001. Epub 2012 Dec 20.
Making use of those Union Army veterans for whom death certificates are available, we compare the conditions with which they were diagnosed by Civil War pension surgeons to the causes of death on the certificates. We divide the data between those veterans who entered the pension system early because of war injuries and those who entered the pension system after the 1890 reform that made it available to many more veterans. We examine the correlation between specific medical conditions rated by the surgeons and death causes to gauge support for the hypothesis that death is attributable to something specific. We also examine the correlation between the accumulation of rated conditions to the length of time until death to gauge support for the "insult hypothesis." In general, we find support for both hypotheses. Examining the hazard ratios for dying of a specific condition, there is support for the idea that what ail'd ya' is what kill'd ya'.
利用那些有死亡证明的联邦军队退伍军人,我们将他们的疾病诊断情况与死亡证明上的死因进行比较。我们将数据分为因战争受伤而提前进入养老金系统的退伍军人和 1890 年改革后更多退伍军人可享受养老金系统的退伍军人。我们检查了外科医生评定的特定医疗条件与死亡原因之间的相关性,以衡量对死亡归因于特定原因的假设的支持程度。我们还检查了评定条件的累积与死亡时间之间的相关性,以衡量“侮辱假说”的支持程度。总的来说,我们对这两个假设都有一定的支持。检查死于特定疾病的危险比,我们有理由认为,是什么病导致了死亡。