Department of Global Health, School of Public Health and Health Services, George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA.
Soc Sci Med. 2013 Nov;97:259-66. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2012.09.051. Epub 2012 Dec 20.
As natural experiments, famines provide a unique opportunity to test the health consequences of nutritional deprivation during the critical period of early life. Using data on 4972 Chinese born between 1956 and 1963 who participated in a large mental health epidemiology survey conducted between 2001 and 2005, we investigated the potential impact of exposure to the 1959-1961 Chinese Famine in utero and during the early postnatal life on adult mental illness. The risk of mental illness was assessed with the 12-item General Health Questionnaire (GHQ-12) and eight other risk factors, and the famine impact on adult mental illness was estimated by difference-in-difference models. Results show that compared with unexposed women born in 1963, women born during the famine years (1959-1961) had higher GHQ scores (increased by 0.95 points; CI: 0.26, 1.65) and increased risk of mental illness (OR = 2.80; CI: 1.23, 6.39); those born in 1959 were the most affected and had GHQ scores 1.52 points higher (CI: 0.42, 2.63) and an OR for mental illness of 4.99 (CI: 1.68, 14.84). Compared to men in the 1963 birth cohort, men born during the famine had lower GHQ scores (decreased by 0.89 points; CI: -1.59, -0.20) and a nonsignificant decrease in the risk of mental illness (OR = 0.60; CI: 0.26, 1.40). We speculate that the long-term consequences of early-life famine exposure include both the selection of the hardiest and the enduring deleterious effects of famine on those who survive. The greater biological vulnerability and stronger natural selection in utero of male versus female fetuses during severe famine may result in a stronger selection effect among men than women, obscuring the deleterious impact of famine exposure on the risk of mental illness in men later in life.
作为自然实验,饥荒为研究生命早期营养剥夺对健康的影响提供了独特的机会。本文利用 1956 年至 1963 年间在中国出生的 4972 名参与者在 2001 年至 2005 年期间参与的一项大型精神健康流行病学调查的数据,研究了暴露于 1959 年至 1961 年中国饥荒中以及生命早期对成人精神疾病的潜在影响。使用 12 项一般健康问卷(GHQ-12)和其他 8 个风险因素评估精神疾病的风险,并用差异法模型估计饥荒对成人精神疾病的影响。结果表明,与 1963 年出生的未暴露女性相比,1959 年至 1961 年出生的女性 GHQ 评分较高(增加 0.95 分;CI:0.26,1.65),患精神疾病的风险增加(OR=2.80;CI:1.23,6.39);1959 年出生的女性受影响最大,GHQ 评分高 1.52 分(CI:0.42,2.63),患精神疾病的风险为 4.99(CI:1.68,14.84)。与 1963 年出生的男性相比,1959 年出生的男性 GHQ 评分较低(降低 0.89 分;CI:-1.59,-0.20),精神疾病的风险降低(OR=0.60;CI:0.26,1.40),但无统计学意义。我们推测,生命早期饥荒暴露的长期后果包括对最坚强者的选择以及对幸存人群的持久有害影响。在严重饥荒期间,男性与女性胎儿相比,在子宫内具有更强的生物脆弱性和更强的自然选择,这可能导致男性的选择效应强于女性,从而掩盖了饥荒暴露对男性晚年精神疾病风险的有害影响。