Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2013 Mar 1;187(5):518-26. doi: 10.1164/rccm.201207-1228OC. Epub 2013 Jan 17.
Pseudomonas aeruginosa is the most commonly isolated gram-negative bacterium after lung transplantation and has been shown to up-regulate glutamic acid-leucine-arginine-positive (ELR(+)) CXC chemokines associated with bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS), but the effect of pseudomonas on BOS and death has not been well defined.
To determine if the influence of pseudomonas isolation and ELR(+) CXC chemokines on the subsequent development of BOS and the occurrence of death is time dependent.
A three-state model was developed to assess the likelihood of transitioning from lung transplant (state 1) to BOS (state 2), from transplant (state 1) to death (state 3), and from BOS (state 2) to death (state 3). This Cox semi-Markovian approach determines state survival rates and cause-specific hazards for movement from one state to another.
The likelihood of transition from transplant to BOS was increased by acute rejection, CXCL5, and the interaction between pseudomonas and CXCL1. The pseudomonas effect in this transition was due to infection rather than colonization. Movement from transplant to death was facilitated by pseudomonas infection and single lung transplant. Transition from BOS to death was affected by the length of time in state 1 and by the interactions between any pseudomonas isolation and CXCL5 and aspergillus, either independently or in combination.
Our model demonstrates that common post-transplantation events drive movement from one post-transplantation state to another and influence outcomes differently depending upon when after transplantation they occur. Pseudomonas and the ELR(+) CXC chemokines may interact to negatively influence lung transplant outcomes.
铜绿假单胞菌是肺移植后最常分离的革兰氏阴性菌,已被证明可上调与闭塞性细支气管炎综合征(BOS)相关的谷氨酸-亮氨酸-精氨酸阳性(ELR(+)) CXC 趋化因子,但假单胞菌对 BOS 和死亡的影响尚未得到很好的定义。
确定假单胞菌分离和 ELR(+) CXC 趋化因子对随后发生 BOS 和死亡的影响是否与时间有关。
建立了一个三状态模型来评估从肺移植(状态 1)到 BOS(状态 2)、从移植(状态 1)到死亡(状态 3)以及从 BOS(状态 2)到死亡(状态 3)的可能性。这种 Cox 半马尔可夫方法确定了状态生存率和从一个状态到另一个状态的特定原因的危险。
急性排斥反应、CXCL5 和假单胞菌与 CXCL1 之间的相互作用增加了从移植到 BOS 的转变可能性。这种转变中假单胞菌的作用是由于感染而不是定植。假单胞菌感染和单肺移植促进了从移植到死亡的转变。从 BOS 到死亡的转变受到处于状态 1 的时间长短以及任何假单胞菌分离和 CXCL5 以及曲霉菌之间的相互作用的影响,无论是单独作用还是联合作用。
我们的模型表明,常见的移植后事件推动了从一个移植后状态到另一个状态的转变,并根据它们发生在移植后的时间不同而对结果产生不同的影响。假单胞菌和 ELR(+) CXC 趋化因子可能相互作用,对肺移植结果产生负面影响。