Department of Neurology, Städtisches Klinikum Ludwigshafen, Bremserstrasse 79, Ludwigshafen a. Rh., Germany.
Eur J Epidemiol. 2013 May;28(5):373-81. doi: 10.1007/s10654-013-9772-4. Epub 2013 Feb 6.
Data on seasonal differences in stroke incidence are conflicting. Little is known about seasonal variability in etiological stroke subtypes and population-based data on possible trigger factors are lacking. The Ludwigshafen Stroke Study is a prospective population-based stroke registry. All residents of the city of Ludwigshafen who suffer from acute stroke or TIA are registered. Patients with first-ever stroke (FES) were included for the present analysis. Between January 1, 2006 and December 31st, 2010, 1,779 patients (age 71.7 ± 13.4 years (mean + standard deviation; 897 (50.4 %) women) suffered a FES. Incidence for FES was lowest in summer (reference) with significantly higher rates in winter (rate ratio (RR) 1.20, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.05-1.37) and spring (RR 1.21 95 % CI 1.06-1.38). First-ever ischemic stroke (FEIS) was more common in winter (RR 1.16, 95 %CI 1.01-1.34) and first-ever intracerebral haemorrhage (FE-ICH) was more frequent in spring (RR 2.0, 95 %CI 1.24-3.22) than in summer. In FES, systolic and diastolic blood pressure on admission (SBP/DBP) showed significant variation with lowest values in summer (SBP: p = 0.02; DBP p = 0.05). In subtypes of FEIS, cardioembolism tended to be more common in winter (p = 0.14). There were no differences in risk factor prevalence between seasons. Leukocyte count on admission was lowest in summer (8.2 ± 1.4/μl) and highest in winter (8.9 ± 1.9/μl; p = 0.008). The hematocrit showed a similar trend (p = 0.06). Our data show higher incidence rates for FES in winter and spring, for FEIS in winter and for FE-ICH in spring. Variations in blood pressure on admission and leukocyte counts were associated with these findings and may possibly contribute to seasonal stroke variability.
关于卒中发病的季节性差异的数据存在争议。关于病因性卒中亚型的季节性变化以及缺乏基于人群的可能触发因素的数据知之甚少。Ludwigshafen 卒中研究是一项前瞻性的基于人群的卒中登记研究。该市所有急性卒中或 TIA 患者均进行登记。本分析纳入首次卒中(FES)患者。2006 年 1 月 1 日至 2010 年 12 月 31 日,1779 例患者(年龄 71.7 ± 13.4 岁(均值 ± 标准差);897 例(50.4%)女性)发生 FES。夏季 FES 的发生率最低(参考),冬季(RR 1.20,95%置信区间[CI] 1.05-1.37)和春季(RR 1.21,95%CI 1.06-1.38)的发生率显著更高。首次缺血性卒中(FEIS)在冬季更常见(RR 1.16,95%CI 1.01-1.34),首次颅内出血(FE-ICH)在春季更常见(RR 2.0,95%CI 1.24-3.22)。在 FES 中,入院时的收缩压和舒张压(SBP/DBP)有明显变化,夏季最低(SBP:p=0.02;DBP:p=0.05)。FEIS 的亚型中,心源性栓塞在冬季更常见(p=0.14)。各季节的危险因素患病率无差异。入院时白细胞计数夏季最低(8.2 ± 1.4/μl),冬季最高(8.9 ± 1.9/μl;p=0.008)。红细胞压积也有类似趋势(p=0.06)。我们的数据显示 FES 在冬季和春季的发生率较高,FEIS 在冬季,FE-ICH 在春季。入院时血压和白细胞计数的变化与这些发现相关,可能对季节性卒中变化有一定影响。