Australian Institute for Suicide Research and Prevention, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia.
Sociol Health Illn. 2013 Jul;35(6):956-70. doi: 10.1111/1467-9566.12011. Epub 2013 Feb 11.
After the collapse of the Soviet Union the various Eastern European (EE) countries adapted in different ways to the social, political and economic changes. The present study aims to analyse whether the factors related to social integration and regulation are able to explain the changes in the suicide rate in EE. A separate analysis of suicide rates, together with the undetermined intent mortality (UD), was performed. A cross-sectional time-series design and applied a panel data fixed-effects regression technique was used in analyses. The sample included 13 countries from the former Soviet bloc between 1990 and 2008. Dependent variables were gender-specific age-adjusted suicide rates and suicide plus UD rates. Independent variables included unemployment, GDP, divorce rate, birth rate, the Gini index, female labour force participation, alcohol consumption and general practitioners per 100,000 people. Male suicide and suicide or UD rates had similar predictors, which suggest that changes in suicide were related to socioeconomic disruptions experienced during the transition period. However, male suicide rates in EE were not associated with alcohol consumption during the study period. Even so, there might be underestimation of alcohol consumption due to illegal alcohol and differences between methodologies of calculating alcohol consumption. However, predictors of female suicide were related to economic integration and suicide or UD rates with domestic integration.
苏联解体后,东欧各国(EE)以不同的方式适应了社会、政治和经济变革。本研究旨在分析与社会融合和监管相关的因素是否能够解释 EE 国家自杀率的变化。对自杀率和不确定意图死亡率(UD)进行了单独分析。采用了横断面时间序列设计和面板数据固定效应回归技术进行分析。样本包括 1990 年至 2008 年间前苏联集团的 13 个国家。因变量为性别调整后的年龄标准化自杀率和自杀加 UD 率。自变量包括失业率、国内生产总值、离婚率、出生率、基尼指数、女性劳动力参与率、酒精消费以及每 10 万人中全科医生的数量。男性自杀和自杀或 UD 率有相似的预测因素,这表明自杀率的变化与转型期经历的社会经济动荡有关。然而,在研究期间,EE 国家男性自杀率与酒精消费无关。即便如此,由于非法酒精和计算酒精消费的方法之间的差异,可能存在对酒精消费的低估。然而,女性自杀的预测因素与经济融合有关,自杀或 UD 率与国内融合有关。