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前苏联改革时期的女性自杀与酒精消费情况

Female suicides and alcohol consumption during perestroika in the former USSR.

作者信息

Wasserman D, Värnik A, Eklund G

机构信息

Department of Public Health Sciences, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Acta Psychiatr Scand Suppl. 1998;394:26-33.

PMID:9825015
Abstract

During 1984-1990, a decline in suicide rates of 32% for males and 19% for females took place in the former Soviet Union. The observed annual decrease in mortality from suicide was most marked for men in 1984-1986 and for women in 1984-1988. This article illuminates the hypothesis that the restrictive anti-alcohol campaign initiated by Gorbachev on 1 June 1985, in which prices of alcoholic beverages were raised substantially, had an impact on female mortality from suicide in the former Soviet Union. Data regarding alcohol consumption, female violent death (n = 451,537), suicide (n = 94,149), death due to accidental alcohol poisoning (n = 28,078), and undetermined death, whether accidental or self-inflicted (n = 23,982) were analysed for three Slavic (Russia, Belarus and the Ukraine), three Baltic (Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia) and two Central Asian republics (Kazakhstan and Kirgizia). Regression analyses with alcohol consumption as the independent variable and female suicide rates and female violent-death rates as dependent variables showed that suicide and alcohol consumption, as well as violent death and alcohol consumption, were positively correlated. However, alcohol seems to have a lower explanatory value for female suicides and female violent deaths compared with male suicides and male violent deaths. The attributable fraction of alcohol for female suicides in the whole USSR (27%) is estimated at approximately half of that for male suicides (50%).

摘要

1984年至1990年期间,前苏联男性自杀率下降了32%,女性自杀率下降了19%。1984年至1986年男性自杀死亡率的年降幅最为显著,1984年至1988年女性自杀死亡率的年降幅最为显著。本文探讨了一种假说,即戈尔巴乔夫于1985年6月1日发起的限制反酒精运动对前苏联女性自杀死亡率产生了影响,该运动大幅提高了酒精饮料价格。对三个斯拉夫国家(俄罗斯、白俄罗斯和乌克兰)、三个波罗的海国家(立陶宛、拉脱维亚和爱沙尼亚)以及两个中亚共和国(哈萨克斯坦和吉尔吉斯斯坦)的酒精消费、女性暴力死亡(n = 451,537)、自杀(n = 94,149)、酒精中毒意外死亡(n = 28,078)以及死因不明的死亡(无论意外还是自杀,n = 23,982)数据进行了分析。以酒精消费为自变量、女性自杀率和女性暴力死亡率为因变量的回归分析表明,自杀与酒精消费以及暴力死亡与酒精消费之间呈正相关。然而,与男性自杀和男性暴力死亡相比,酒精对女性自杀和女性暴力死亡似乎具有较低的解释价值。整个苏联女性自杀的酒精归因比例(27%)估计约为男性自杀归因比例(50%)的一半。

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