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使用贝叶斯参数估计程序对六种庆大霉素列线图进行评估。

Evaluation of six gentamicin nomograms using a bayesian parameter estimation program.

作者信息

Thomson A H, Campbell K C, Kelman A W

机构信息

Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Stobhill General Hospital, Glasgow, Scotland.

出版信息

Ther Drug Monit. 1990 May;12(3):258-63. doi: 10.1097/00007691-199005000-00008.

Abstract

A new set of guidelines for the administration of gentamicin was developed by estimating steady-state peak and trough gentamicin concentrations for simulated patients with known weights and creatinine clearances. The most appropriate doses to achieve target peak concentrations of 5-10 mg/L and troughs of less than 2 mg/L were then tabulated. The performance of these new guidelines was assessed using data collected from 60 patients who had received gentamicin and had at least two serum concentration measurements. Individual estimates of clearance and volume of distribution were obtained using a Bayesian parameter estimation program and these estimates were used to predict the steady-state peak and trough concentrations that would arise from the new guidelines and five other previously published nomograms (Mawer, Chan, Hull-Sarubbi, Rule of Eight, and Dettli). The new guidelines, the Dettli nomogram, and the Hull-Sarubbi table achieved similar percentages (52-57%) of patients within the target ranges (5-10 mg/L for peak and less than 2 mg/L for trough), although 28% of patients had predicted peak concentrations below 5 mg/L with the new method compared to 15% with the other two. Only 38% of patients were within both ranges when the Mawer nomogram and the Rule of Eight methods were used. Since a large percentage of patients would have achieved concentrations outside of the target ranges no matter which nomogram was used, serum concentration monitoring is still recommended to confirm dose requirements.

摘要

通过估算已知体重和肌酐清除率的模拟患者的庆大霉素稳态峰浓度和谷浓度,制定了一套新的庆大霉素给药指南。然后列出了达到目标峰浓度5 - 10mg/L和谷浓度低于2mg/L的最合适剂量。使用从60名接受过庆大霉素治疗且至少有两次血清浓度测量数据的患者收集的数据,评估了这些新指南的性能。使用贝叶斯参数估计程序获得清除率和分布容积的个体估计值,并将这些估计值用于预测新指南以及其他五个先前发表的列线图(莫尔列线图、陈列线图、赫尔 - 萨鲁比列线图、八规则列线图和德特利列线图)所产生的稳态峰浓度和谷浓度。新指南、德特利列线图和赫尔 - 萨鲁比表格在目标范围内(峰浓度5 - 10mg/L,谷浓度低于2mg/L)的患者百分比相似(52 - 57%),尽管新方法预测有28%的患者峰浓度低于5mg/L,而其他两种方法为15%。使用莫尔列线图和八规则方法时,只有38%的患者在两个范围内。由于无论使用哪种列线图,都有很大比例的患者会达到目标范围之外的浓度,因此仍建议进行血清浓度监测以确定剂量需求。

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