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探讨美国谷歌搜索中捕捉到的宏观经济状况与酗酒问题之间的关系

Exploring the relationship between macroeconomic conditions and problem drinking as captured by Google searches in the U.S.

机构信息

Department of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.

出版信息

Soc Sci Med. 2013 May;84:61-8. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2013.01.028. Epub 2013 Feb 6.

Abstract

There is considerable policy interest in the impact of macroeconomic conditions on health-related behaviours and outcomes. This paper sheds new light on this issue by exploring the relationship between macroeconomic conditions and an indicator of problem drinking derived from state-level data on alcoholism-related Google searches conducted in the US over the period 2004-2011. We find the current recessionary period coincided with an almost 20% increase in alcoholism-related searches. Controlling for state and time-effects, a 5% rise in unemployment is followed in the next 12 months by an approximate 15% increase in searches. The use of Internet searches to inform on health-related behaviours and outcomes is in its infancy; but we suggest that the data provides important real-time information for policy-makers and can help to overcome the under-reporting in surveys of sensitive information.

摘要

人们对宏观经济条件对与健康相关的行为和结果的影响非常感兴趣。本文通过探索美国 2004 年至 2011 年期间关于酒精中毒的谷歌搜索州级数据得出的一个指示性饮酒问题指标,为这个问题提供了新的见解。我们发现,当前的经济衰退期与酒精中毒相关搜索几乎增加了 20%。在控制州和时间效应后,接下来的 12 个月内,失业率每上升 5%,搜索量就会增加约 15%。利用互联网搜索来了解与健康相关的行为和结果还处于起步阶段;但我们认为,这些数据为政策制定者提供了重要的实时信息,并有助于克服调查中对敏感信息的低报现象。

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