Division of Mental Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, PO Box 4404, Nydalen, 0403, Oslo, Norway,
Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 2014 Jan;49(1):109-19. doi: 10.1007/s00127-013-0681-3. Epub 2013 Mar 28.
There has been a marked increase in divorce rates in most Western societies over the last 50 years. Relationship dissolution is associated with negative consequences both for adults and children, so it is important to understand the factors that help retain marital stability. The first aim of this prospective study was to identify risk factors for relationship dissolution in 18,523 couples in Norway, with a particular focus on individual dissatisfaction with the relationship. The second aim was to assess interaction effects between relationship dissatisfaction and other predictors of relationship dissolution.
Pregnant women and their partners enrolled in the Norwegian Mother and Child Cohort study completed questionnaires during the pregnancy that asked about relationship dissatisfaction, strain, demographics, and other risk factors. The main outcome variable was relationship dissolution in the 39-month period from gestational week 30-36 months postpartum. Associations between the risk factors and relationship dissolution were estimated by logistic regression analysis.
Except for younger female age, relationship dissatisfaction in women and lower education in men, were the strongest predictors of relationship dissolution. Another strong factor was women's persistent strain. No significant interaction effects were found between relationship dissatisfaction and the other variables in the analyses.
Dissatisfaction with the relationship, in particular in women, and low male education are important predictors of relationship dissolution, although other factors are also related to dissolution. There are only few studies on relationship predictors of dissolution conducted in Europe, and the current study adds to this body of knowledge.
在过去的 50 年里，大多数西方社会的离婚率显著上升。关系破裂会给成年人和儿童带来负面影响，因此了解有助于维持婚姻稳定的因素很重要。本前瞻性研究的第一个目的是确定 18523 对挪威夫妇关系破裂的风险因素，特别关注个体对关系的不满。第二个目的是评估关系不满与关系破裂其他预测因素之间的交互作用。
挪威母婴队列研究的孕妇及其伴侣在怀孕期间完成了调查问卷，询问了对关系的不满、紧张、人口统计学和其他风险因素。主要结局变量是从妊娠第 30-36 个月产后 39 个月内的关系破裂。通过逻辑回归分析估计风险因素与关系破裂之间的关联。
除了女性年龄较小外，女性对关系的不满和男性受教育程度较低是关系破裂的最强预测因素。另一个强有力的因素是女性持续的紧张。在分析中，没有发现关系不满与其他变量之间存在显著的交互作用。
对关系的不满，特别是女性的不满，以及男性受教育程度较低是关系破裂的重要预测因素，尽管其他因素也与破裂有关。在欧洲进行的关于关系破裂预测因素的研究很少，本研究为此类知识体系增添了新内容。
