Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research, Oslo, Norway.
J Health Econ. 2013 May;32(3):586-98. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2013.03.001. Epub 2013 Mar 13.
The relationship between retirement and mortality is studied with a unique administrative data set covering the full population of Norway. A series of retirement policy changes in Norway reduced the retirement age for a group of workers but not for others. Difference-in-differences estimation based on monthly birth cohorts and treatment group status show that the early retirement programme significantly reduced the retirement age; this holds true also when we account for programme substitution, for example into the disability pension. Instrumental variables estimation results show no effect on mortality of retirement age; neither do estimation results from a hazard rate model.
本研究使用挪威全覆盖人口的独特行政数据集,考察了退休与死亡率之间的关系。挪威实施的一系列退休政策改革降低了一组工人的退休年龄,但对其他工人没有影响。基于月度出生队列和处理组状态的双重差分估计结果表明,提前退休计划显著降低了退休年龄;当我们考虑计划替代,例如残疾养恤金时,也是如此。工具变量估计结果表明,退休年龄对死亡率没有影响;风险率模型的估计结果也没有。