Gilbert R E, Fleming P J, Azaz Y, Rudd P T
Bath Unit for Research into Paediatrics, Royal United Hospital, Bath.
BMJ. 1990 May 12;300(6734):1237-9. doi: 10.1136/bmj.300.6734.1237.
To determine whether signs of illness reported by parents can be used to identify babies at risk from the sudden infant death syndrome.
A two year prospective case-controlled study based in a geographically defined area.
Four health districts in Avon and north Somerset.
Babies who had died suddenly and unexpectedly aged between 1 week and 2 years (index babies) and two control babies for each index baby selected from the same health visitor's list and matched for age, time of year of the interview, and area of residence.
Major and minor signs of illness during two weeks before the index babies' death, or before the interview for control babies, and consultations with the general practitioner during the same period.
Parents reported major and minor signs of illness in the previous week in 66 of the 95 index babies compared with 77 of the 190 controls. No significant difference was found in the incidence of major signs reported (34 out of 95 index babies and 44 out of 190 controls), but a higher proportion of the index babies had been seen by their general practitioner during the previous week (17/95 v 11/190).
Major and minor signs of illness are neither a sensitive nor a specific indicator of sudden unexpected death of infants and have no predictive value. Better understanding of the reasons why a higher proportion of parents of babies who died took them to their general practitioners may help to identify babies at risk before death.
确定父母报告的疾病迹象是否可用于识别有婴儿猝死综合征风险的婴儿。
在一个地理区域内进行的为期两年的前瞻性病例对照研究。
埃文和北萨默塞特的四个健康区。
年龄在1周龄至2岁之间突然意外死亡的婴儿(索引婴儿),以及从同一名健康访视员名单中为每个索引婴儿挑选的两名对照婴儿,这些对照婴儿在年龄、访谈时间和居住地区方面相匹配。
索引婴儿死亡前两周内,或对照婴儿访谈前两周内的主要和次要疾病迹象,以及同期与全科医生的会诊情况。
95名索引婴儿中有66名的父母报告了前一周内有主要和次要疾病迹象,而190名对照婴儿中有77名的父母报告了此类情况。报告的主要疾病迹象发生率无显著差异(95名索引婴儿中有34名,190名对照婴儿中有44名),但索引婴儿在前一周内看全科医生的比例更高(17/95对11/190)。
疾病的主要和次要迹象既不是婴儿意外猝死的敏感指标,也不是特异指标,没有预测价值。更好地理解为什么更多死亡婴儿的父母带他们去看全科医生,可能有助于在婴儿死亡前识别有风险的婴儿。