The Korea Central Cancer Registry, Division of Cancer Registration and Surveillance, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.
Cancer Res Treat. 2013 Mar;45(1):15-21. doi: 10.4143/crt.2013.45.1.15. Epub 2013 Mar 31.
To estimate the current cancer burden in Korea, cancer incidence and mortality rates were projected for the year 2013.
Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2010 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2011 were obtained from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence in 2013 was projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer incidence rates against observed years, then multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the age-specific population. For cancer mortality, a similar procedure was used, except that a Joinpoint regression model was used to determine at which year the linear trend changed significantly.
In total, 247,732 new cancer cases and 74,179 cancer deaths are projected to occur in Korea in 2013. For all sites combined, the crude incidence rates are projected to be 489.8 and 492.2, and the age-standardized incidences to be 350.4 and 318.4 per 100,000 for males and females, respectively.
Cancer has become an important public health concern in Korea, and as the Korean population ages, the cancer burden will continue to increase.
为了评估韩国当前的癌症负担，我们预测了 2013 年的癌症发病率和死亡率。
癌症发病率数据来源于 1999 年至 2010 年的韩国国家癌症发病率数据库，癌症死亡率数据来源于 1993 年至 2011 年的韩国统计厅。通过对观察到的年龄特异性癌症发病率与观察到的年份进行线性回归模型拟合，预测 2013 年的癌症发病率，然后将预测的年龄特异性发病率乘以各年龄段的人口数。对于癌症死亡率，采用类似的方法，但使用 Joinpoint 回归模型来确定线性趋势何时发生显著变化。
2013 年，韩国预计将有 247732 例新癌症病例和 74179 例癌症死亡病例。所有部位的粗发病率预计分别为男性和女性每 10 万人 489.8 和 492.2，年龄标准化发病率预计分别为男性和女性每 10 万人 350.4 和 318.4。
癌症已成为韩国一个重要的公共卫生关注点，随着韩国人口老龄化，癌症负担将继续增加。
