Centre for Statistics in Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Pediatrics. 2013 May;131(5):870-9. doi: 10.1542/peds.2012-2408. Epub 2013 Apr 29.
Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are common childhood bacterial infections that may involve renal parenchymal infection (acute pyelonephritis [APN]) followed by late scarring. Prompt, high-quality diagnosis of APN and later identification of children with scarring are important for preventing future complications. Examination via dimercaptosuccinic acid scanning is the current clinical gold standard but is not routinely performed. A more accessible assay could therefore prove useful. Our goal was to study procalcitonin as a predictor for both APN and scarring in children with UTI.
A systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data were performed; all data were gathered from children with UTIs who had undergone both procalcitonin measurement and dimercaptosuccinic acid scanning.
A total of 1011 patients (APN in 60.6%, late scarring in 25.7%) were included from 18 studies. Procalcitonin as a continuous, class, and binary variable was associated with APN and scarring (P < .001) and demonstrated a significantly higher (P < .05) area under the receiver operating characteristic curve than either C-reactive protein or white blood cell count for both pathologies. Procalcitonin ≥0.5 ng/mL yielded an adjusted odds ratio of 7.9 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.8-10.9) with 71% sensitivity (95% CI: 67-74) and 72% specificity (95% CI: 67-76) for APN. Procalcitonin ≥0.5 ng/mL was significantly associated with late scarring (adjusted odds ratio: 3.4 [95% CI: 2.1-5.7]) with 79% sensitivity (95% CI: 71-85) and 50% specificity (95% CI: 45-54).
Procalcitonin was a more robust predictor compared with C-reactive protein or white blood cell count for selectively identifying children who had APN during the early stages of UTI, as well as those with late scarring.
尿路感染(UTI)是儿童常见的细菌性感染,可能涉及肾实质感染(急性肾盂肾炎[APN]),随后发生迟发性瘢痕形成。及时、高质量地诊断 APN 并识别出有瘢痕形成的儿童,对于预防未来的并发症非常重要。二巯丁二酸扫描检查是目前的临床金标准,但并未常规进行。因此,一种更易获得的检测方法可能会很有用。我们的目标是研究降钙素原(procalcitonin)作为预测儿童 UTI 后发生 APN 和瘢痕形成的指标。
我们对个体患者数据进行了系统评价和荟萃分析;所有数据均来自接受过降钙素原测量和二巯丁二酸扫描检查的 UTI 患儿。
共纳入 18 项研究的 1011 例患儿(APN 占 60.6%,迟发性瘢痕形成占 25.7%)。降钙素原作为连续、分类和二分类变量,与 APN 和瘢痕形成均相关(P<.001),且在预测这两种病变时,曲线下面积均显著高于 C 反应蛋白或白细胞计数(P<.05)。降钙素原≥0.5ng/mL 时,APN 的调整后比值比为 7.9(95%可信区间[CI]:5.8-10.9),其敏感性为 71%(95%CI:67%-74%),特异性为 72%(95%CI:67%-76%)。降钙素原≥0.5ng/mL 与迟发性瘢痕形成显著相关(调整后比值比:3.4[95%CI:2.1-5.7]),其敏感性为 79%(95%CI:71%-85%),特异性为 50%(95%CI:45%-54%)。
与 C 反应蛋白或白细胞计数相比,降钙素原是一种更可靠的预测指标,可选择性地识别 UTI 早期发生 APN 的儿童,以及发生迟发性瘢痕形成的儿童。